Mr. Chair, honourable members of the committee, thank you for the opportunity of again appearing before you to discuss this issue.
As I was coming to Ottawa, it occurred to me that this is an issue that, after many weeks of intense discussion in the press, has rather fallen off the precipice. We have seen very little in the press regarding this matter. It remains for me and for my colleagues in clinical medicine, however, a daily issue that we have to deal with. I'm grateful for the committee's bringing this to our attention again and for giving us an opportunity to meet before you. I know that I share with Jean-Luc and with Kevin the clinical concerns over the impact this has had on our patients and on the patients whom our departments serve.
You've heard from both Dr. Urbain and Dr. Tracey that this is a system that is coping, but the coping is stressed stability, and we feel almost as if we're on a knife-edge of supply. We've seen at every level of the delivery system, from the supplier to the technologist on the floor, a huge amount of flexibility in the way in which people have dealt with the uncertainties of medical isotope supply. I thought it would be helpful to the committee to review some of the activities that have been undertaken and then review some issues around supply.
First, we need to recognize the impact that this has had on our patients. Although I'm not aware that we have really not been able to provide care to our patients when they need it, this care has been done at inconvenience to them. Jean-Luc mentioned the calls changing appointment times to ensure that we could deal with isotope supply.
Within the provinces and health community there has been an extraordinary effort to re-engineer the processes by which we provide our patients with scans. Departments have remained open for long periods of time; we have, where we can, taken advantage of new technologies; we have worked weekends. We have also used alternative radiopharmaceuticals—thallium, as an example—wherever you can use a product that is not technitium-based to image patients with cardiac diseases.
We've seen significant efforts by industry to help us manage this. There's been a diversification of sources of molybdenum. This has given us something of a cushion in maintaining supply. It doesn't, however, provide a perfect cushion, as I think all three speakers before me have said. One more reactor going down means that the cushion is lost. There has been sharing of radioisotope between suppliers, and this has undoubtedly helped those centres that are only supplied by one of the generator suppliers. I also think we have become much better as a community at generating and communicating supply forecasts.
We have had regulatory approvals facilitated by Health Canada: a new source of iodine-131, for example, for treating patients with thyroid cancer; the clinical trial application for fluorine-18 to enable us to reduce the use of technetium MDP; and also the approval, in anticipation of their being able to produce, of the Australian reactor-produced molybdenum-99.
The guidance document that the expert panel has released and continues to update has been helpful. I think the CAMRT review gives some indication of the ways in which this has helped individual departments on the ground.
Finally, we have to recognize the superhuman efforts of our technologists in ensuring that we were able to make the changes in our work practices. If we look at the impacts of these work practices, we see that we have been able to maintain a service to our patients. We have achieved a period of stability, but as I said earlier, it is stressed stability.
We have, I think, been able to offer scans to all of the patients who have needed them. We really do need to recognize the hard work that our departments have put into managing this crisis. I was very pleased today to see the CMA letter identifying and recognizing the contributions that the medical community and the medical technology community have made.
There are a number of factors that I think have helped us to cope. Generally we've had a slightly better supply of technetium-99m than we had expected in the worst days after the NRU shutdown. I have provided to you for circulation two charts, one of which is a national forecast of technetium supply. This is the long-term chart showing that if we look at the national supply across the whole country, we have not, apart from the initial period, fallen below 50%. So nationally we have done well. What this does not reflect is some of the difficulties that individual sites have had in maintaining their supply.
The second chart is a snapshot of two weeks—last week and this week—of supply to individual sites in Ontario and in Quebec. We have given you the figures for Ontario and Quebec because those are the two provinces where the impact on supply has been most keenly felt.
I'll just take one minute to explain this chart to you. On the left-hand side where the 7,500 mCi figure is, that is the level of radioactivity that was supplied to individual sites before the crisis started. For the size of the order delivered, that is the amount of activity that the sites got in each of those two weeks. Obviously we've given the percentage of the pre-NRU shutdown supply in the second column. The shaded areas are basically where the individual hospitals asked for lower levels of activity. You can see that, in the two weeks that I've discussed, in one week we were broadly doing okay across the country; and this week, the supply is down. Because of a Petten shutdown, we predict that there will be some limitation in supply next week as well.
So we have data going back by each of these individual hospital sites through the period of the shutdown. It's notable that we have been able to do a large number of patients with less activity than we have been using in the past.
Also, the last time I met with you I discussed with you the importance of understanding the differences, particularly in Ontario, between large hospitals and small hospitals. As Dr. Tracey discussed, there are real issues with some of the smaller sites in Ontario not being able to react to uncertainties of supply or if there is a problem. For example, two or three weeks ago there was a shipment that was not carried by Air France because the pilot didn't want to carry radioactivity on his plane, so there was an acute crisis because we didn't get the activity that we had expected. It's the smaller centres that are unable to react as well as the larger centres to those unexpected issues.
Secondly, I am concerned that we are seeing across the country a reduction in the number of referrals for nuclear medicine procedures. I think this is based out of fear that the test will not be able to be performed. This is obviously a concern for two reasons: one, the patient will not be getting the best test first; and two, it places stresses on other parts of the imaging system that have to pick up the slack.
The other issue of concern that we're hearing is cost. As we're now six months into the crisis, I think we're beginning to understand the impact of these cost increases that have been caused both by planned increases prior to the NRU shutdown and increases that have occurred because of the shutdown. We're beginning to see the impact of those, particularly again on smaller departments that don't have the flexibility. As we move into the next planning cycle, we think it important that we understand the real impact of these costs.
Finally, the Canadian Association of Medical Radiation Technologists published a survey a couple of weeks ago in which they identified issues. These are burnout among technologists, because we are asking these people to do an extraordinary amount of work over a prolonged period of time; and secondly, at 8% to 9% of sites surveyed, layoffs were being considered because of reduced activity.
Furthermore, we really need to consider, as Steve West said, the fragility that is potentially coming in 2010. One of my roles over the course of the next couple of months is to really understand what the impact of the last six months has been, as we attempt to plan for 2010. In the best of all possible worlds, the NRU comes up and Petten is only down for the planned period and we're able to survive. But the system is stressed, stable, and only just coping.
Therefore, there are three or four initiatives I would like to highlight, Mr. Chair, for the committee. First, with the Canadian Institute for Health Information, we are planning to undertake a survey across the country of the impact of the last six months on referral patterns, utilization of other modalities, the use of radiopharmaceutical referral patterns, and use this to plan going forward.
I believe there will be some innovative suggestions coming out of the CIHR from the competition that is currently under way. I believe we may get some medium-term—albeit not short-term—help out of that research.
Thirdly, we're obviously all waiting for the expert panel review. I think all four of us have mentioned the expert panel review. I believe that of the 22 proposals, some are obviously innovative, and we really need to look at the ones that are going to help our community the most.
We need to understand the impact of technological advances. Whether it's using different radiopharmaceuticals, different technologies, or improved gamma cameras, we have to use this planning process and planning time to really understand the impact those advances can make and the evidence that has to be brought to bear to validate the introduction of those impacts to ensure that our patients get the best care they are going to get.
Finally, we consider it really important to work with the community to understand the financial and planning impacts as we go in, because we need to be aware of both the best and the worst of the options that may happen in 2010; and I'm committed to working with my clinical colleagues, industry, and the minister to ensure that we have the best options available to ensure that our patient care is not impaired.
Based on my last meeting, Mr. Chair, I will remind the committee, if I may, that I'm a practising physician. I see patients for diagnosis and therapy on a daily basis in my clinic. I discuss this impact with them on a daily basis, as my clinical colleagues do. We have to remember that the people at the end of this are actually the patients.
Thank you.