Mr. Chair, I could say a couple of things related to that.
It's the policy of the Government of Canada that decisions related to upgrading and refining are made in the private sector. There are a number of factors that come into play when the industry makes those decisions, particularly related to the oil sands.
There is a decision on whether they take the raw bitumen and upgrade it to what they call synthetic crude, and then on where synthetic crude goes to become refined product. What the industry looks at is the margin between what they can sell diluted bitumen for, and what synthetic crude sells for. Sometimes, if it in fact costs more to upgrade than the price of synthetic crude, there's no return on their investment, so they won't do it. If there's a big gap between the two prices, it's more worthwhile for the private sector to invest. We see the margins. Sometimes they get bigger; sometimes they get smaller.
There are other factors, as well. Sometimes, for example, refiners will prefer to be closer to the markets, because it's cheaper to transport, for example, crude oil by pipeline. I'm talking about the difference between crude oil and refined product. What comes out of refineries is gasoline, jet fuel, and diesel. Those are separate streams. They either have to batch them in the same pipeline, or they require dedicated pipelines. For example, some refineries will have a pipeline that will go directly from the refinery to a nearby major international airport, which is the case in a number of cities.
A third factor is that gasoline varies, depending on temperature and the region of the country. The gasoline you put in your car in the winter is a slightly different blend from what it is in the summer. Of course, the difference between Texas and Ontario at different times of the year can be considerable. Gasoline refineries will actually tailor their product to the local market. That's another reason that the refiners, rather than shipping refined products long distances, will choose to be a little closer to the markets.
Another factor is that crude oil is more easily shipped long distances than gasoline, for example, because impurities getting into gasoline can be a major problem. Sulphur, for example, can get in. You have to clean it out at the other end. It's not as much of a problem when you're dealing with crude.
The final thing is the cost of infrastructure. A lot of the oil that would move, for example, down the Keystone XL pipeline would be moving to refineries on the Gulf coast, where they're already set up to do heavy crude. Just as a matter of reference, the price of a new refinery for 250,000 to 300,000 barrels a day can be in the range of $7 billion to $8 billion. They have existing refinery capacity already set up to deal with heavy crude. Oil sands oil is heavy crude. A significant investment like that is one of the commercial reasons for moving it to those refineries.
As an example, if you're moving a refinery from dealing with light crude to heavy crude, you need to introduce a coker. One of those can be worth $2 billion. It's a very capital-intensive business. What happens a lot of times is that the crude will go to the refining capacity, which again is a decision we leave in the hands of the private sector.
Those are some of the factors behind the private sector's investment decisions.