Thank you very much, Mr. Chair.
I greatly appreciate the chance to be here. Thank you for allowing me to speak to you.
I will give you a bit of background on the Canadian minerals and metals sector, on some of its challenges, and on the innovation imperative, as I understand the committee's study will focus on innovation in the natural resources sector.
With regard to a bit of context, I'd like to say that mining is a long-term and risk-filled business. From 1,000 exploration projects, it is quite likely that only one discovery will go on to be a constructed and operating mine. The work to get there can take decades and requires significant investments, often in the billions of dollars before any revenue or profit is generated.
If you'd like to turn to slide 2, “ Minerals matter for Canada”, mining is essential for day-to-day living. Minerals and metals are used in everything from toothpaste and face cream, to iPhones and wind turbines, to aerospace and housing. Indeed, beyond the essential day to day, what we are also seeing is that mining's inputs are becoming ever more critical for advanced manufacturing, high technology, and innovation.
Mining has a direct impact on the economy. In 2015, mineral exploration and production generated $60.3 billion for the Canadian economy. That's equivalent to 3.2% of Canada's GDP, and 19.1% of Canadian exports.
In 2014, there were nearly 1,700 exploration and mining companies headquartered in Canada. With global mining assets totalling nearly $260 billion, beyond production, beyond the actual mine site, the ripple effect of mining is considerable. It's significant, from supplies and equipment to services like insurance and finance. For example, in 2015, $15 billion was expended for new capital and equipment. It is said that for every $1 billion of output in the minerals and metal sector, the direct demand for goods and services in Canada increases by $615 million.
More than rocks, mining's impact on communities and jobs, particularly those in rural and remote parts of the country, is considerable. Nearly 380,000 Canadians are employed in the sector, and that includes 10,000 indigenous Canadians, who account for about 8% of the mining industry labour force, more than double the all-industry average representation of 3.4%.
Canada is known globally for its expertise and presence in mining. In 2014, Canadian companies were operating in 105 countries around the world. To put that in context, the United Nations recognizes that there are 193 nations, though Canadian companies have a presence in 105 of those 193.
On slide three, we can see there is most likely activity related to mining in almost every riding and constituency across Canada, in rural and remote areas, but also in urban areas through financing, insurance, and research and development activities.
Now let's look at slide four. It's important to see that mineral development encompasses everything from the geologist with boots on the ground, surveys by helicopter, advanced chemical surveys, and financial and economic analysis, to construction, mining itself, operations, processing, smelting and fabrication, and closure and remediation.
Canada is active across this whole value and supply chain, with individuals and companies providing services, conducting operations, and providing equipment and supplies at each stage.
I would like to touch on some of the challenges facing Canada's minerals and metals sector. The challenges are twofold. The first is the economic competitiveness of Canadian operations and maintaining an attractive investment climate, and the second is one of social acceptance, environmental performance, community involvement, and a sense of shared benefit and risk.
Looking a bit more at the economic competitiveness, I think everyone appreciates that it's a cyclical industry, and right now we're in a low cycle. Since 2011, the price of copper has dropped by 25%, iron ore by 35%, and gold by 11%. Looking more into the future, one of the larger concerns is that of declining ore grade. What this means is that many of the easily accessible reserves have been utilized. For example, over the last three decades, known zinc reserves have fallen by 86%, and known nickel reserves by 63%. Nickel is a key ingredient in stainless steel. Now mining companies need to go deeper, operate more remotely, or mine at lower grades. In other words, they need to compensate for a lower percentage of a valuable commodity by mining a greater tonnage of rock.
All of that increases the costs to operate. In Australia, there was a study on multi-factor mining productivity, and it showed that 40% more input was required to produce the same output as a decade ago. Other countries' mining sectors are maturing, and some competitor countries, for example, Australia again, have lower shipping costs to the closer, fastest-growing economies of China and India.
We can see the impact on mines. Since 2015, 14 mines were suspended or closed in Canada, while five opened. For the long term, in terms of the future pipeline of mines, the grassroots exploration sector has been the hardest hit. Investment declined from a high of $2.8 billion in 2011, at the peak of the super cycle, to an expected $683 million this year, 2016. The number of exploration companies has dropped from a high of 911 companies in 2012, and it's now projected that 431 project operators will have merged, become dormant, or ceased to exist by 2016.
Innovation is critical to the future. Lowering costs, increasing productivity, and strengthening environmental performance are critical to address these challenges. While some see mining as old-fashioned—after all it has been done for the last 3,000 years—and as a bucket and shovel dirt industry, this view misses the continuously evolving high technology nature of the sector. For example, robotics, engineering, and genomics are all under way in mining, but there are challenges, and there are issues.
Over the last decade, most innovation has centred on site-specific challenges, such as processing efficiency, and is undertaken mine project by mine project, rather than as a transformative endeavour across the whole industry. The cyclical nature of mining, the long time frames, and high capital costs—some mines have capital investment of upwards of $5 billion—make the industry risk-averse to adopt unproven technologies or processes. It is often said that in mining you want to be the first to be second.
Research efforts in Canada are currently diffuse and collaboration is not fully mature. The Canadian Chamber of Commerce has estimated there are 4,000 R and D programs and 40 different mining innovation research organizations in Canada that are not necessarily connected. Peer countries are investing more in innovation and in mining innovation. For example, the favourite comparator, Australia, has a centralized funding model leveraging 47% of its $86-million annual program. Australia has invested more than four times as much in research and development than Canadian firms, which has led to a growing gap in research competitiveness and technology uptake over the last decade.
We'll turn to slide 7, “Emerging technologies can have a significant impact”. Energy, water, and waste are the areas of greatest challenge and opportunity to increase competitiveness and to reduce environmental impacts and improve performance. Many mines operate off grid, and renewables and energy efficient technology offer the potential for cost savings, reducing emissions, and improving productivity.
In many cases, the technology exists already. The challenge is in demonstration, verification, and the cost of capital, particularly retrofitting, to support commercialization and adoption.
Mining innovation will not come from developing technology alone but from a broader industry-level systems model and process approach that builds platforms and integrates technology, data, and information—the so-called Internet of things—and has the greatest potential for transforming the mining industry.
Lastly, successful innovation is built on collaboration and partnership. Getting from a project-by-project approach to more of an industry-wide transformative approach and de-risking and accelerating innovation will require governments, universities, and industry—in other words companies, suppliers, associations, and certainly other sectors—to partner and leverage efforts.
Our department, Natural Resources Canada, through our green mining initiative and CanmetMINING laboratory, works in partnership to improve the environmental performance and productivity of mineral development in Canada.
Thank you.
I look forward to your questions, Mr. Chair.