Thank you for the question.
I would say in terms of cap and trade and reducing our carbon footprint that Vale globally recognizes the need to be part of the solution there. We've actually set a target to reduce our carbon footprint by 5% by the year 2020, and we're certainly in play in Canada. As I mentioned, with our Clean AER project, we will be reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 40%. Then there are technologies like the hydromet facility in Newfoundland and Labrador. Again, when you look at our pan-Canada emissions, they are going to be much lower than they were.
I would say that when you look at mining and you account for greenhouse gas emissions in the province of Ontario, the mining industry as a whole only counts for 1%. We're actually quite low, relative to other industries. When you look at mining globally, you see that the carbon footprint of the mining industry in Canada is very low, so from a global perspective it's in our interests to keep our mining processing facilities here, because our carbon footprint is much lower than that of other jurisdictions, such as China. I think we need to keep that in mind when we're setting policy.
We're very much in play in cap and trade, which, as you know, takes effect next year in Ontario. As for the effects it'll have on our company, for the first compliance period we estimate that it will be about $5 million to $10 million, but beyond the first compliance period, we're looking at potentially $15 million to $40 million. It is going to have a dollar impact for us, and there is some uncertainty beyond the first compliance period, because when you look at flow-through costs, like fuel, electricity, and so forth, there's no question that it's going to have an impact on our business.
That's why I think it's important that companies like Vale and governments at all levels look for solutions to help us reduce our carbon footprint. It's not going to happen overnight in an operation like Sudbury, where our mines are 100 years old. It's going to be a journey, but we're certainly willing to do the work. Moving forward, we hope to work with the federal and provincial governments so that again we can be proud and create a Canadian success story when it comes to reducing our carbon footprint.