Hello, everyone. I'm Rueben George from Tsleil-Waututh Nation.
[Witness spoke in hən̓q̓əmin̓əm̓]
[English]
I'm sitting here in my territory, and right across from me is the TMX terminal. Tsleil-Waututh people hold a sacred and legal obligation to protect, defend and steward the water, lands and air resources of our territory for all generations. The nation does this through asserting and exercising governance and stewardship rights. It is our obligation to restore the health of our inlet.
It is no secret that TWN, my nation, is opposed to TMX. We've been following the project for 10-plus years and have participated in numerous processes to advance our concerns, including the NEB, the CER hearings, two rounds of consultation and two legal challenges. We have also produced our own independent analysis of TMX, grounded in our own unextinguished law and informed by world-class spill and economic analysis.
Tsleil-Waututh is a leader in economic development in the Lower Mainland of B.C., but our businesses must be undertaken in accordance with Tsleil-Waututh law and with our obligation to restore the health of our Burrard Inlet.
We've been tracking the underlying economics of TMX, because according to the Canadian legal test, the economic benefits of the pipeline are supposed to justify the burdens, including the infringement of TWN's indigenous rights, oil spill risks and climate-related risks. Our economic analyses have consistently shown that TMX will not be profitable. We have conducted numerous expert economic analyses that conclude that Trans Mountain is not economically viable and will not return the profit to its owners. Since 2015, report after report has indicated that the economic case and the need for TMX have crumbled.
We attended Kinder Morgan's AGM in Houston, Texas, on several occasions and met with Kinder Morgan's largest institutional investors on Wall Street. We knew that the company was not accurately communicating the risks and uncertainty facing the project. We studied the 2013 toll methodology. We understood that the economics could only support a profitable project of about $10 billion maximum. Contrary to popular understanding, this is the reason Kinder Morgan walked away from TMX. They hoodwinked Canada on the way by selling it for $4.5 billion.
Finance Minister Morneau said after the purchase that TMX would be operated on a commercial basis. That has not happened. A commercial operator would not have applied to the CER for a toll that recovers less than half the cost of the construction. Imagine what would happen to Enbridge's share price if they tried that.
If the CER approves the tolls Trans Mountain applied for, it means a $17 billion to $20 billion loss to its owners. The CER has been put in a position it was not designed to regulate. There may be other benefits for the Canadian economy, as you heard, but Trans Mountain will lose a significant amount if the tolls as applied for are approved by the CER. The only other option is that the oil companies pay more for the pipeline that serves only them. Like they said earlier, they have record production and profits, while Canadians are still struggling with the cost of living.
We predict that a debt writedown might be spun as economic reconciliation, but let's be clear that this is a massive subsidy to the oil and gas sector.
In short, it comes down to this question: Who do you think will pay for this pipeline? Should it mostly be the oil companies who are its only customers and primary beneficiaries and who are recording record profits, or should it mostly be taxpayers who are struggling with the cost of living? I'd like to know where each of you stands on this.
Lastly, TWN is concerned by the federal government's expressed intention to sell the pipeline, and specifically to first nations. This will in effect allow the federal government to rid its hands of this failed, catastrophic economic venture while being able to style it as a move towards reconciliation.
We understand that first nations across Canada have varied interests and needs and will make decisions that are best for their communities. We are, however, concerned that this pipeline will be pitched to first nations as a viable economic opportunity, without providing full information. They will be burdened with the liability of a spill.
Selling an oil pipeline with bad economics to first nation groups is a modern-day equivalent of gifting smallpox blankets. The long-term harm outweighs the original gift. It's a catastrophic mess.
On one day this time last year, we had 434 fires. We've seen the Chilcotin River, a main tributary to the Fraser River, be filled up with half of a mountain that fell into the river and backed it up for 12 kilometres—