Thank you, Madam Chair and all members, for the opportunity to appear today.
The Canadian Gas Association represents Canada's natural gas pipeline industry. We operate 600,000 kilometres of infrastructure, serving 20 million Canadians with energy every single day. Through this system, natural gas meets 40% of all of Canada's energy needs.
CGA and its members advocate strongly for bringing transparency to the domestic energy conversation, and we offer our support to the committee as it undertakes this ambitious study.
My remarks will focus on three areas: trends in natural gas and electricity over the last 15 years in Canada, electrification policy and the importance of peak energy use, and the need for policy clarity on domestic natural gas in Canada.
Looking at trends in Canadian energy use, we have provided a dataset as part of our package that will highlight these changes, but I'll address a few of them here today with you.
Over the last 15 years, natural gas use in Canada is up by 63%, driven by a 100% increase in industrial natural gas use. The increase in industrial gas use, for context, is 10 times the entire increase in all electricity use in Canada over the same period.
On an annual basis, electricity has increased by 0.7% and natural gas has increased by 4.2% on the consumption side. Doubling our electric system by 2050 would require an annual growth rate of 4.3% every year from 2027 to 2050, a pace six times higher than that of the last 15 years. On pricing, the price of natural gas has declined by 30% in 15 years, whereas electricity prices have increased by 1%.
As we look at policy, we highlight the many electrification programs introduced in the last decade, including electric vehicle incentives, investment tax credits, funding programs for smart grids, heat pump incentives, etc.
As you know, a lot has changed in the energy market, including a heightened focus on affordability, energy security and looming shortages of electricity in key regions of the country. As such, new programs or spending commitments must be assessed against what consumer costs will be, what electricity will be available when and where and what higher demand will do for peak energy. Policies that add electricity demand to the grid, especially for home and commercial building heating, will dramatically affect peak energy.
As you know, energy systems are designed for the top hour of the year. That's the coldest day or the hottest day. They must be able to meet peak demand during the peak hour. In Canada, that's the winter. The average home uses six times more energy in the winter than it does in the summer.
I'll provide some examples of how significant this is. In January 2025, Ontario's natural gas system delivered the equivalent of 80,000 megawatts of energy, six times the capacity of Ontario's entire nuclear fleet. In January 2024, Alberta's natural gas system delivered 110,000 megawatts of energy versus 12,000 megawatts on the electric system. In British Columbia, where temperatures are more moderate, the natural gas system at peak times delivers twice the energy of the electric system.
This is not to say that we shouldn't use electricity for heat. For example, dual fuel heating uses a natural gas furnace paired with an electric heat pump. Doing so allows the electricity to operate when temperatures are moderate, and the natural gas takes over when temperatures cool down. Dual systems mitigate significant peak energy demands. Data from B.C. shows a 70% decline in peak electric use in a home that uses dual fuel heating versus a home that simply uses an electric heat pump.
The increasing integration of gas and electricity systems points to the need for a clean federal vision for domestic natural gas in Canada. Natural gas is not just a source of fuel to create LNG for export or generate electricity, but the backbone of our industrial and heating economy, yet the domestic market is without a vision, one that will enable Canada to secure new pipeline investments to fuel AI, industrial customers, power generators and a growing population. We are smart to share this resource with the world and our allies, but we need a plan for our domestic industry.
Let me conclude with three recommendations. The first is that government review its federal electrification policies and ensure that new programs undergo a reliability test to ensure implications on reliability and peak energy are taken into consideration. The second is that government work with stakeholders to publish a national policy statement on natural gas, starting with a potential study by this committee on the role of natural gas in Canada. The third is that dual fuel heating be included as an essential component of how Canada mitigates peak energy on electric systems moving forward.
Thank you very much.