I think we should remember that until 2008 the unemployment insurance account had nominally, notionally, a $54 billion surplus in it. When it was turned into a crown corporation, $2 billion of that amount was put in a reserve account, and we know that the official actuarials--I can't remember the title, but it's the same as the Auditor General--are indicating that in a downturn of the scale that we think we're facing, we're going to probably run a $10 billion to $15 billion deficit in that fund.
In truth, that $54 billion is not there. It has been given to tax cuts already and to other purposes of expenditures. So there's an opportunity to actually do something. There have been opportunity costs all along the line for the last decade to restore the cuts that were made in the early 1990s to the mid-1990s. Many people on this committee will have heard myself and others talking about how in the bad times the deficit was wrestled to the ground on the backs of the poor, particularly women, and in the good times that funding was never restored to the same program. So I don't need to say that again. But I will simply say that there have been choices made all along the line as to how to spend public resources and there are arguments to be made for tax cuts, debt reduction, and spending enhancements. Every government will choose its priorities in that way, but the truth is the money is there when you need it.
If you take a look at our economic history, as a nation we have decided what was needed to be done and we've done it, and then we've figured out how to pay for it--until we hit the 1990s, where the number one priority was to balance books. Since the early to mid-1990s, governments have been very much into accounting and accountability to not use more money than we have, but in fact we can raise money to do things that we think are a priority. We created unemployment insurance out of nothing because it needed to be there. We expanded it in the fifties; we expanded it again in the seventies. When we need it to be there we can do it, if that's our collective will. But it does require all of Parliament. It requires all of government to say, yes, we are going to move forward to protect people. I think that's the conversation we're at, Madame Mathyssen.
The alternative federal budget documents from which you're quoting are from a coalition of groups that are asking what it would take to stimulate, what it would take to actually bring us out of it. We started from a different starting point in saying we have a budget of x amount, so how would you do it? We started with the 2% of GDP stimulus that the IMF, the OECD, and everybody else around the world were saying we needed to have in concert, and that it was every bit as important to synchronize our stimulus as it was to sustain the financial system. This government moved very rapidly to work in concert with other partners to stabilize the financial system--and kudos--but when it came to the stimulus there was a good deal of hesitation all over the world; it isn't just Canada. There's been a good deal of “How should we do this?” What is true is that we all know the government must act, because the contraction of the private sector--households, banks, and businesses--is such that the only agent left to fill in that breach is government. If government does not act, and act strongly, we are just going to go into a protracted downward spell.
So we took the 2% that the IMF was saying we needed and we said, how many jobs can you create, what are the biggest multipliers for that package? Tax cuts did not feature because they don't create enough jobs. So we allocated it mostly in infrastructure, both green and looking forward, and in training and income supports. All of this not only sustains this period, but prepares us for the next phase of expansion, which is inevitable. We will come out of this period, and we are ill-prepared for the labour force problems we are facing in the next five to ten years, as my age group and others like me start to retire. We will not have enough teachers, doctors, and nurses, and we are not using this moment, which would be perfect to train them for that next step.