Thank you very much.
Good afternoon. Thank you for inviting me to speak to the committee today. I apologize for not being able to attend in person, and I very much appreciate the willingness of the committee to allow me to attend by video conference.
My name is Benjamin Dachis. I'm a senior policy analyst at the C.D. Howe Institute. For those who are not aware of the institute, we are an independent, not-for-profit organization that aims to improve Canadians' living standards by fostering economically sound public policies.
I am the author of a recent C.D. Howe Institute publication entitled “How Ottawa Can Deliver a Reformed Canada Post”. That was published in August of this year. I'm going to be arguing that Canada Post needs more reform than what was announced last week.
Rather than provide less service at a higher price, Canada Post should be partly privatized, with the full privatization of Canada Post to potentially follow. This would follow the reform model that we see in the U.K., for example, which is gradually privatizing parts of its mail delivery service while keeping other parts of the postal service within public hands.
The federal government owns but provides significant autonomy to Canada Post. Under the Canada Post Corporation Act, the government has made Canada Post the only organization that can collect or deliver letter mail at the price of a stamp. However, the government has tasked Canada Post with the obligation to serve all addresses. This is known as the universal service obligation. I believe that the primary objective of Canada Post is to provide a universal service at the same price to consumers across the country.
The government has created a monopoly in order to provide that universal service mandate, but I'm going to be arguing that the two issues are separable. I'll be arguing that a real reform of Canada Post must address the government monopoly, the requirement for universal service, and the pension and labour issues for existing Canada Post employees.
The increase in prices and the service reductions do not address issues of government monopoly, universal service, or pension concerns. I'll show how we can deal with some of these issues in the future.
First, on monopoly, there are two approaches to limiting government monopoly on mail delivery.
The first approach, similar to what we've seen in, say, Sweden or Finland, is to eliminate the government monopoly on letter pickup and delivery completely, and to allow private sector entrants to handle the job. When governments do that, they often set the terms of services and prices for new entrants.
A second option is to eliminate the government monopoly more gradually. This can be done through contracting, say, whereby the government auctions the right to operate specific parts of the postal services, such as mail delivery and pickup.
Canada Post can set the terms of the contract with bidders, such as maintaining a certain number of postal outlets in a region or preserving household delivery where it currently exists. Canada Post could then pay the least-cost contractor out of revenues from stamp sales. The winners could then experiment to find the most innovative and least-cost ways of delivering and meeting those contract terms.
Those winners could be existing parcel delivery companies. They could be newspaper companies that currently operate door-to-door services. They could be community groups, and that could also include existing Canada Post workers. Contracting arrangements for delivery and pickup services would be a continuation of the existing practice of contracting out the operation of postal outlets, customer care centres, long-distance transportation, and air transportation.
If you look at contracted postal outlets, you see that they have a one-third lower cost than the facilities owned by Canada Post. If contracting delivery and pickup delivered the same sorts of savings, the cost savings would be dramatic, without necessarily cutting the delivery standards.
Separating and then privatizing the delivery component of postal operations that can be provided by private companies, but then keeping other parts within government ownership, is the direction that the U.K. is going to be taking. The U.K. has privatized the delivery network of the Royal Mail, but it's still going to maintain the ownership of the post office, which is responsible for maintaining its network of postal outlets. Government ownership does not necessarily mean government operation.
In the United Kingdom, 97% of post office branches are operated by contractors or private businesses. In Canada, only about 40% of our retail postal operations are contracted. These are the sorts of operations that you see in, for example, Shoppers Drug Mart.
Even in this area, in which contracting has been considerable by Canadian standards—and these are services that provide good services to Canadians under the banner of Canada Post—we are still behind the United Kingdom.
How can we preserve the universal service mandate if we undergo the contracting route?
First and foremost, the economic merits of maintaining common prices and service levels across Canada are dubious. The cost of service is higher in rural areas than in urban areas, and cross-subsidizing mail services in rural areas results in higher costs for urban customers. Nevertheless, with Canada Post, like the third rail of rural politics, scrapping the idea of universal services is going to be unlikely in the near term.
Rather than imposing the costs of maintaining rural services on urban postal customers, Ottawa should provide subsidies for rural service. Transparent subsidies set by Parliament would be an efficient way to preserve equal urban and rural prices. Such a subsidy would be similar to the current policy of free delivery of letters to and from members of Parliament, which costs taxpayers $22 million per year.
Under a contracting model, service providers would require a subsidy to service high-cost areas. If the cost per item sent or delivered in remote areas isn't covered by the set stamp price, the difference would be made up by a payment from government revenue. Contractors would then compete on the basis of the lowest subsidy they need to provide the service.
Contracting arrangements would create a strong incentive for contracted employers and their employees to maximize their productivity. Firms with relatively low-productivity employees would either lose contracts or be less profitable than otherwise. Knowing that low productivity or excess wage demands by contractor employees could result in their firm losing contracts would result in those workers trying to improve their productivity or reduce their costs relative to Canada Post's employees.
Contracting could also result in productivity improvements by existing Canada Post employees who compete with private contractors for work.
I'll try to conclude by discussing issues of running labour contracts and pension issues of Canada Post employees.
Canada Post could gradually increase the share of services it contracts out without relying on layoffs as layoffs of most existing employees are forbidden under the current collective agreement.
As of the end of 2012, Canada Post had a pension solvency deficit of about $6 billion. Canada Post has received special permission from the federal government to defer the payments it needs to make to cover its pension deficit. There are going to be few easy fixes for such a sizable pension hole. In the U.K., for example, the government took on the historic pension liabilities of the Royal Mail in 2012. That pension plan transfer amounted to £40 billion of pension liability. That's about $70 billion. They had a pension solvency deficit of £10 billion or about $17 billion. Gradual privatization could allow Canada Post to start shrinking that deficit by reducing future benefits, increasing worker premiums, or both in the coming years.
Contracting could also spur Canada Post employees to come to the bargaining table to address that looming pension cost.
Gradually increasing contracting arrangements for more Canada Post services would extend to broader reform and eventual full privatization, leading to the process that's currently under way at Royal Mail once new competitors are in place and the costs of maintaining existing universal services become clear.
Whatever route we choose, and there are many different international models of privatization that we can consider, whether that route involves a wholly privatized Canada Post or one that involves further, carefully selected private services to be tendered for contract, the goal should be a competitive and efficient postal service.
It is time that Canada's postal services caught up with those of the rest of the world and that Canadians benefit from the most efficient system possible.
Thank you for inviting me. I look forward to discussing this further in questions.