Mr. Speaker, I am pleased to take part in this last debate on the prebudget consultations that have been going on since the beginning of this session.
From the outset, I would like to thank the thousands of Quebecers who, in September and October, contributed to one of the largest democratic exercises undertaken by the Bloc Quebecois, over the past two years now, which was meeting Quebecers to ask for their opinions on the federal government's budget.
This year in particular, we asked those whom we met all over Quebec the following question: How should the Minister of Finance use the huge surpluses that he generated at the expense of the unemployed, the sick, the students, the provinces and everyone, except itself?
I am also taking this opportunity to thank my leader, the member for Laurier—Sainte-Marie, for giving us the opportunity to meet our constituents and for having established a practice which, we hope, will continue in the future. Finally, I would like to thank my Bloc Quebecois colleagues for agreeing to take part in this excellent exercise and for making a brilliant presentation of the conclusions of these consultations.
These conclusions were collected in a synthesis report presented by the Bloc Quebecois, through its leader and its finance critic as well as the hon. member for Lévis, who took the opportunity to promote a shipbuilding policy. I just wanted to point this out to my fellow Quebecers that we delivered the goods by tabling about three weeks ago on their behalf a document that includes the consensus reached and their main priorities.
First of all, I want to go over the Minister of Finance's estimates concerning the surpluses for the years to come. With this minister, we have gotten used to the way he fiddles with the real budget figures and his forecasts, first with regard to the deficit and then with regard to the surplus. He has made us very conservative, because his forecasts are very conservative, but he has shown us in the past that he can be incredibly secretive.
Often, he has even juggled the figures to prepare an extremely summary and fragmented table regarding the options available to the federal government in order to fight the poverty to which he himself has contributed since 1994 by drastically cutting our social programs and to support economic growth and job creation.
When the Minister of Finance tells us in his economic update that he expects a $95 billion surplus to be accumulated in the next five years, the truth must be even more amazing. For this year alone, the minister expects a $5 billion surplus. When he comes up with these sorts of things, he shows little respect for the public.
The federal government's surplus for the first eight months of the current fiscal year is already $8 billion, that is $3 billion over the minister's forecast surplus for the whole of this year. We can expect that the surplus will easily top $12 billion this year. This is more then twice what the minister had forecast.
That gives the government considerable leeway. As a matter of fact, we did not wait. In September and October of this year, we made our own projections regarding the current surplus, next year's surplus and the leeway that could develop as a result and be used to improve the Canadian economy and social programs.
We believe that, with part of this year's surplus and with next year's surplus, which we think will reach $15 billion, and with a tax reform, which would not take ten years but a few months to achieve, the minister could have $25 billion to play with in the next fiscal year.
We have consulted the people regarding this possibility. Everywhere in Quebec, the Bloc Quebecois, through its members who work hard to defend Quebec's interests, has consulted Quebecers regarding these projections and the use of that money.
Here are the main things on which people agree with regard to the use of this enormous amount of leeway the federal government has over the next year.
First, Quebecers have always believed—and they still do, as shown in the latest survey—it is essential that the Minister of Finance restore transfer payments to the provinces for health, higher education and income security.
Second, it is important to return to a true employment insurance plan, one that really helps the unemployed. There is almost complete unanimity that the EI plan has to be revamped, because it no longer covers all the people it should.
Third, we were hoping that there would be promising projects for the financial and social economy. We are thinking in particular of a real shipbuilding policy for Canada, which does not exist at the present time, the construction of social housing, and infrastructure programs, including highways.
Fourth, we called for a real tax cut for low and middle income Canadians and Quebecers, not just window-dressing, but lasting tax reform that would permanently end the injustices that have hit middle income families particularly hard in recent years.
I will go through these four points, one by one, comparing them with what the Liberal majority is proposing in its report.
First, there is the issue of social transfers. As I mentioned, the consensus is clear that this is top on the priority list. Quebecers want the CHST restored. It will take $3.7 billion annually, starting next fiscal, to return to the level of the transfer in 1993-94, before the Minister of Finance slashed the payments that are used to help fund health and education.
Yesterday, I listened to the secretary of state say that cuts to provincial social transfer payments were a athing of the past. What hypocrisy, especially from the secretary of state. I hope he has some idea of the figures. If not, his incompetence is shocking.
The cuts announced by the Minister of Finance in 1994 are ongoing and will continue to apply until 2003. Up until now, the cumulative drastic cuts to education, health and income security total $21.4 billion. By the year 2003, since the cuts are ongoing and despite the fact that parts of the cuts were cancelled, federal transfers to the provinces for health care, education and income security will have been reduced by more than $30 billion.
This is not a thing of the past. The cuts are still being made, but in an underhanded way. As members know, we have gotten used to the Minister of Finance's vile hypocrisy. He makes one announcement only, but the cuts he announces are good for seven or eight years, and he does not have to repeat them year after year.
What is so revolting is that, because of the drastic cuts made by our Minister of Finance, a shipowner and a millionaire, Quebec is out by $6.3 billion to pay for health care, higher education and income security.
It comes to $860 per Quebecer and 37% of all the cuts made in Canada. The Quebec population accounts for 24.5% of the Canadian population, but the Government of Quebec was hit by 37% of the cuts to the Canada health and social transfer.
No wonder our health sector is having problems. Although these problems occur throughout the country, they hurt us a lot more. And the Minister of Intergovernmental Affairs said it before: Quebec has to hurt. Well, the government is certainly on the right track, particularly with its bill preventing Quebec from using the democratic process freely in a referendum. If Quebec has to hurt, the government is definitely on the right track.
This year alone, the Government of Quebec will have $1.7 billion less for health, post-secondary education and welfare. Based on the historic distribution before 1994, before the federal government's contributions in those three sectors were consolidated into a single transfer called the Canada social transfer, here is what it looks like.
This year, the Government of Quebec will be short $875 million in federal transfers for health. Do members know what such an amount of money represents? It represents 3,000 jobs for physicians. It represents 5,000 jobs for nurses. It is a lot of money. And then people say that the Government of Quebec really has lots of problems in the area of health. But it is this government that is causing considerable harm to the sick in Quebec and to the finances of the Government of Quebec.
Based on the historic distribution, $500 million of the $1.7 billion would have gone to education. Do members know what we could do if we had $500 million more to put into education in Quebec? We could hire 5,800 university professors. And the cuts are a thing of the past? How hypocritical can one get? In terms of income security, the Government of Quebec is getting $325 million less to fight poverty in Quebec. Do members have any idea what could be done with that money? It would mean an additional $500 for each and every welfare recipient in Quebec.
Of course, $500 a year is not a lot of money for a millionaire like the Minister of Finance, but for those who are having trouble making ends meet, who are struggling, $500 a year is a fortune. And this is what they are being deprived of. Then the government goes around bragging that cuts are a thing of the past, that they have put their fiscal house in order and that they are on the right track. Give me a break.
The report of the Liberal majority on the finance committee does not recommend that the social transfers to the provinces be restored. It does not say a word about poverty either, but I am going to come back to that issue.
Second, the report says nothing about reinstating a real employment insurance program. Despite the representations made here and elsewhere in Canada and especially in the province of Quebec where the Bloc carried out wide consultations, the report of the Liberal majority on the finance committee does not mention the need to reform the employment insurance program. It is shocking.
Only 42% of the unemployed are eligible to benefits, even if 100% of the workers pay premiums. The situation for women is even worse. Only 31% of them are eligible, but all of them do pay premiums. They are going after the men and women who are unemployed, as well as pregnant women. Their benefits are being cut because they have been on precautionary cessation of work under the CSST. Because the days and hours during which they were covered by the CSST are not factored in, they are not eligible to special benefits for pregnant women. This is scandalous.
So, nothing on EI. The representations made by thousands of Quebecers and Canadians were ignored.
Third, the structuring projects. I mentioned earlier that the budget offers many great possibilities. The Minister of Finance is hiding more surpluses. He is hiding facts about his real leeway. He has much more flexibility than he cares to admit. He has more leeway than he knows what to do with. The liberal majority on the finance committee could have suggested to spend more than $500 million a year on structuring projects, on infrastructure projects. This is ridiculous.
With the possibilities and flexibility anticipated for next year and the subsequent two, the committee could have suggested $3 billion a year, as we had. In this regard, we had the support of all stakeholders in civil society, including employer associations.
There is nothing either on structuring projects in support of a real shipbuilding policy for Canada. My Bloc colleague from Lévis-et-Chutes-de-la-Chaudière has worked very hard for many years to promote such a policy. Canadians from sea to sea want a national shipbuilding policy.
Not long ago, my colleague informed me that he had gained the support of the Canadian Shipowners Association, of which our finance minister is a member. No one is asking him to secure privileges as a shipowner. There is a difference between passing legislation that favours him and his companies, as he did two years ago with Bill C-28, and developing a national shipbuilding policy to help create jobs in Canada and ensure, for instance, that the level of jobs at Lévis shipyards gets back to what it was before, that is 5,000 jobs, if my memory serves me right.