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National Defence committee  I'm sorry, but I have no idea what happened there.

April 21st, 2023Committee meeting

Dr. Jack Watling

National Defence committee  Over the winter the Russian military wanted to reduce attrition in its own units, so it allowed Wagner to take control of a large number of mobilized prisoners to basically continue the pressure on the Ukrainians without pushing that attrition onto them. As a result, they were re

April 21st, 2023Committee meeting

Dr. Jack Watling

National Defence committee  In the interest of time, I'm happy to follow up with the clerk and provide some written comments.

April 21st, 2023Committee meeting

Dr. Jack Watling

National Defence committee  I would tell them that we don't need large political statements anymore. This is not about getting ministers to sign off on new equipment; it's about the detailed, dull drudgery of working through all of the contracts to make sure that the equipment we've already provided can be

April 21st, 2023Committee meeting

Dr. Jack Watling

National Defence committee  I think the most significant effect would be in countries like Lebanon, Yemen and Egypt, where those grains have been absolutely critical for the food security of the local population. That is also one of the reasons the Russians are cautious, I think, or prepared to negotiate on

April 21st, 2023Committee meeting

Dr. Jack Watling

National Defence committee  The sanctions are fine. We're not very proactive at actually shutting down these businesses. A number of times I've seen an oligarch get sanctioned and set up a front company that takes on the assets. They then have a non-public agreement with someone to hold it in their name, an

April 21st, 2023Committee meeting

Dr. Jack Watling

National Defence committee  It's boring, but there are hundreds and hundreds of different, very small spare parts for which the Ukrainians don't have the intellectual property rights and therefore the CAD drawings to be able to produce them. They don't know the heat treatment or the tolerances of a lot of t

April 21st, 2023Committee meeting

Dr. Jack Watling

National Defence committee  I'm not a lawyer, and I'm certainly not a lawyer in Canada, so I'm afraid.... I'm a military analyst. I don't know, but such a law would probably be quite useful.

April 21st, 2023Committee meeting

Dr. Jack Watling

National Defence committee  The U.S. has such legislation to enable the President to requisition industry and direct it to produce war materials, yes.

April 21st, 2023Committee meeting

Dr. Jack Watling

National Defence committee  The next few months are going to be absolutely critical, because if the Ukrainians are able to get the Russians moving backward, the Russian command and control system is likely to make that a very chaotic process. The headquarters are 120 kilometres from the front. If that can h

April 21st, 2023Committee meeting

Dr. Jack Watling

National Defence committee  China offered to provide microelectronics and other components and machine tooling for Russian industry in the very early days of the war. They've also been very important in providing finance, although they extract a lot of concessions for that. They also provide advice and enga

April 21st, 2023Committee meeting

Dr. Jack Watling

National Defence committee  I think Estonia has done a very good job of going through that process. It's taken them a period of time to acknowledge that it was a problem and to build the domestic political support for doing that. In other countries, it is happening. You will see a steady trickle of arrests

April 21st, 2023Committee meeting

Dr. Jack Watling

National Defence committee  I'm going to interpret your question as partners rather than allies. I presume you mean countries outside of the alliance that we have relationships with.

April 21st, 2023Committee meeting

Dr. Jack Watling

National Defence committee  The issue there is that while we have focused very directly on our own ecosystem and a lot of our information affects English language sources or European media and that ecosystem, the Russians are extremely active across Africa and South America. If you go onto elite WhatsApp gr

April 21st, 2023Committee meeting

Dr. Jack Watling

National Defence committee  It's the low morale and poor training quality of its soldiers. Ultimately, Russia lacks leverage, because it is losing ground and losing people on the battlefield. That is the thing that we have to make sure continues. We cannot let them have a ceasefire when they could put their

April 21st, 2023Committee meeting

Dr. Jack Watling