Thank you very much. I appreciate the opportunity to appear before the committee.
I was in Ottawa for a meeting earlier this week that was looking at the future of animal agriculture to serve the food needs of the world and Canada, so it was a delight to be able to stay over and come and join you personally. It's good to see you here.
I wanted to start off by talking about what I see as the major issues facing Canadian agriculture and then move from there into some of the things that I think Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada might best address.
There's really little question that a major issue facing not just Canadian agriculture but global agriculture is food security for the future. Define food security however you want, but it's basically physical and economic accessibility to safe nutritious food: meet dietary needs, meet food preferences, and provide enough for active and healthy lives. We look at the issue of food security in the face of what is known to be the growing world population. We reach seven billion this month. We're expected to reach nine billion by somewhere between 2040 and 2050. Various projections go well beyond that in the years past that. We have to be able to feed not just those people but our own people as well, and basically the estimates are that we have to increase food production by at least 70% more than what we're doing now—170% more food in 40 years from now. That's enormous. It's terrifying. And at best, 10% of that can come from increasing arable land. There's just simply not enough arable land in the world to do that.
Of the seven billion people we've got now, 1.3 billion are known to be seriously malnourished and/or starving, and a reasonable proportion of those are in our own communities, as was mentioned earlier, in our remote communities, our northern communities, and in our inner cities and around. So when we address food security, we are addressing things that matter to our own peoples as well, and that makes it really, really critical to face these kinds of issues.
On top of needing 170% more food, we've got to do that and manage the environment better, because we're not doing a particularly good job right now. So that means we have to be more ecologically sensitive. We have to have more environmentally sustainable practices. We have to make more than just food from renewable products. We have to do feed, fibre, energy, plastics, anything and everything, nutraceuticals, cosmeceuticals—I can never say that word. We have to look at all of these kinds of products that have to come from renewable resources in a world where water is becoming incredibly limited and we don't want to have any additional problems with more pollution.
How are we going to do that? Again, the problems become almost terrifying. We have the moral imperative to feed the world and look after our environment better. We have the moral imperative to look after our own Canadian population better. Moral imperative is one thing; it sounds good. But practically speaking, it's no doubt that food insecurity—inadequate access to good food and clean water—is absolutely a cause of social unrest and huge instability. It probably was one of the leading factors that actually got the people in Egypt on the streets, and it goes beyond that.
So there's the ethical reason, there's the political reason, but if we're really, really practical, there's a third reason to look at this issue. If we can significantly increase what we're doing, it's going to make our producers and our country an enormous profit, in terms of our already highly lucrative exports of agricultural products and of our research and development. So there are some very, very black and white reasons that we need to go ahead with this.
If one major issue that we're facing is food security or food insecurity, the second one that compounds it is climate variation.
The estimates in the world again are that the climate is changing. Most people will agree and most good science will agree that it's warming, but you don't need to believe in that to look at the storms, to look at the rainfall, to look at the droughts in Texas, where they didn't get rain for how many months, to look at the changes around the world and to know that we need to be able to adapt to huge variations in the environment in which we are growing food and in which agriculture is going to be operating.
I think you only have to look at the Arctic to recognize that something is very, very different, and we have to be prepared to deal with that. The flip side of that one is that if we adapt our practices and our products to a wide variety of climates, we're not only addressing our own immediate needs in our own country, but again that climate exists now somewhere around the world and we can sell it. Isn't that right? It's something that we can export and that we can be doing that will make a difference.
Again, water is a limiting factor. Biodiversity is something we need to protect.
The third one I wanted to speak about just a little bit is policy. There's very little doubt that a major issue facing Canadian agriculture is policy for agricultural regulations and the science innovation side of it. In all of the most recent statements on science and innovation that have come from the federal government, there is no mention of the word “agriculture”. We speak of science and innovation, and occasionally we will speak about commercialization and occasionally we will speak about environment, but the word “agriculture” is not there. And when you remove the word “agriculture” from that front face, you are essentially saying that agriculture as it exists, from taking that high-powered science and making it ultimately applicable, that range, is not important. It is not saying to the world that Canada is standing up and supporting agricultural science and innovation for the future. We will talk about science and innovation, but agriculture gets lost. I think that's a huge signal that we don't want to support, at least from my point of view, and I'm biased. There are lots of other policy issues, but you get the basics.
The other thing that I really wanted to speak to you about in a very focused way is the need for high-quality people. High-quality personnel are hugely important. We need the trained people to go out into industry and to go out onto our farms and to go out into our businesses and to come into our educational institutions.
So what should Agriculture Canada be doing about all of this? Agriculture Canada should focus on the long-term, expensive, slow research that neither universities nor industry can really undertake effectively. There are aspects of animal and plant breeding...looking at novel species that will be used in new or challenged environments. There is something called life-cycle analysis. There is something called nutrigenomics--looking at nutrition that's dedicated to how your genetics work.
Agriculture Canada should also be very involved in collaborative R and D and the development of highly qualified people. Certainly the lessons from the cluster need to be there. We need to be collaborative in a wide variety of ways and reduce barriers, as people have already said.
Thirdly, Agriculture Canada needs to be there fighting to promote policies and regulations that support desirable industry practices: rules-based trade; standards for practices that promote sustainability and standards that promote health, whether that's personal or ecosystem health; and safety of food and peoples.
Thank you.