Thank you Mr. Chair.
I am a former beef producer. I sold my first animals at the age of 14, and I did business with the Lafrance slaughterhouse. In my day, there were many local slaughterhouses, so producers could shop around and sell their animals to several slaughterhouses. During times when animals were in short supply, it was possible to get good prices. The opposite was also true. When there was an oversupply, getting a good price was tough.
Over the years, the sector became concentrated. Many local slaughterhouses disappeared in Quebec. It was really a scourge. It changed the whole dynamic. We also saw a period when there was an oversupply of meat in North America. The large American slaughterhouses were dumping in Canada. They did it a lot in Quebec as well. Producers had to sell at ridiculous prices. Today, we've come to a situation where we have let things go for too long. For 30 years, beef has been sold at a price below the production cost for producers.
Today, there's a call to rebuild the herd. Don't think it will take two years. I expect it to take five or ten. You were generous, Ms. Moudi, when you said it would take seven years. The producers are my age. They're 62 years old. They're selling their businesses and retiring, and the land is being farmed by others. They're not growing forage anymore, and they're turning to grain production. It takes a lot of feed to produce beef. We'll come to a point later when there is too much grain, and perhaps not enough feeder cattle for the feed.
How do you see the future? You're going to have a cattle shortage. Slaughterhouses will compete for animals. It's a whole structure. The producers are happy, but it brings other problems.
The reference price is really the cash price. The cash price is for live animals. It's the best reference because it sends the best market signals. Then, the desire will be to control everything. The processors may be ready to come together to control a certain price when there's a shortage of meat, but they really weren't ready to do that and give us a chance over the past 30 years, when there was an oversupply of meat.
Do you really think there will be enough co-operation to achieve this feat?