I cannot speak on behalf of Alberta, but I can tell you from the point of view of hydrogeology and science and the experience we have with our program.
I think I can wrap up your question in three points.
This applies mostly everywhere, but particularly in the Athabasca oil sands, we need, and they need--we all need--to specify very clearly what is the sustainable safe yield off those aquifers. What I mean by that is what is the exact amount that can be sustainably extracted without affecting anything else around it?
It would be very technical to explain, but think about a reservoir where you have water running into it and you have water running out of it. You have to know the exact amount of the lame d'eau that you can extract without having adverse effects. That is not known. We call it the sustainable safe yield.
The second thing that is very important to learn is transport mechanisms. I also heard earlier this morning a question about the groundwater contaminated all the way to Yukon. That is a very tough question, but one about which I can say we do not know what other transport mechanism...because groundwater carries contaminants in very different ways: advection, dispersion, diffusion, and many different ways. The issues there are scales of time. You may have groundwater contamination that is stuck, that doesn't move, because of the different mechanical dispersion, etc.
The third thing, which we still do not know about very in-depth, are the surface water and groundwater connections. Given the geological nature of the buried valleys in the Athabasca area, sometimes they simply cross the river. They “outcrop”, let me say. This means that parts of the Athabasca and some other minor rivers also capture groundwater. In fact, if you measure sometimes the flow rate of the rivers, part of it is what we call the base flow. The base flow--even in the absence of rain, the river continues flowing--is in fact groundwater. Some of the amount of the buried valleys goes into the river. Not everything; they have mapped 27 buried channels in the Athabasca area.
So what I mean by surface water and groundwater interaction is that you need extensive monitoring to precisely evaluate what is the discharge--not the recharge, but the discharge--to the river.
If I go to the first point, sustainable yield, most people think that sustainable use of groundwater is to take the recharge and not pump more than the recharge. Sorry, but that's wrong. In fact, it's the discharge that counts, because the recharge is very slow. You may take 10 years or more before the aquifer is fully recharged again; don't forget, water is a cycle every year. However, in terms of the discharge, when you pump groundwater out, in fact what you are extracting is the discharge. In other words, if you extract more than what is discharging somewhere and you don't want to cause any effect, then you have to learn that.
So it's not the recharge. The recharge is important, of course, but you also have to understand; it's both the recharge and the--