Thank you. I'd like to thank the committee for the invitation to appear here today.
If the committee would indulge me, I would first like to summarize my background as it relates to my expertise working with wild salmonids and Atlantic salmon in particular.
I first started working with wild Atlantic salmon in eastern Newfoundland rivers in 1979 with the recently deceased Dr. John Gibson, a great salmon biologist and a wonderful mentor. That set the stage for my career-long interest in studying the ecology of salmonid fishes in rivers. I received my M.Sc. in biology in 1982 from Memorial University of Newfoundland and my Ph.D. in 1986 from University of Waterloo, having studied the ecology of wild stream salmonids.
My post-doctoral research with DFO brought me back to eastern Canada to study how wild juvenile salmon use river and estuarine habitats on the northern peninsula of Newfoundland. In 1988, I was hired as a research scientist with the Department of Fisheries and Oceans in the gulf region to study the habitat use and ecology of juvenile Atlantic salmon. My work focused on rivers in Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, and Prince Edward Island, but mostly on the Miramichi river system. I studied forestry impacts, winter biology, survival, and movement behaviour. In 1997, I moved to UNB in Fredericton as the Meighen-Molson research chair to initiate a research program centred on wild Atlantic salmon. I have maintained that research focus to this day as a Canada research chair and professor cross-appointed in the department of Biology and the faculty of Forestry and Environmental Management.
My current research involves salmon stock recruitment dynamics, winter egg survival, the response of wild salmon to the warming of rivers from climate change, and the impacts of flow regulation. I serve as a scientific adviser for various committees and organizations including COSEWIC, Miramichi Salmon Association, the Atlantic Salmon Conservation Foundation, and CAST, the Collaboration for Atlantic Salmon Tomorrow.
Over the past 30 plus years, there has been a disturbing trend of declining numbers of adult salmon returning to many Atlantic rivers, especially those in the southern portion of the salmon's distribution. In the Miramichi river system of New Brunswick where I conduct most of my research, 2014 saw the lowest ever estimated return of adult salmon. Many factors are contributing and have likely contributed to the decline. Most scientists favour the theory that atypically high marine mortality is the main problem, but the principal cause or causes are open to speculation.
Remember that the problem of so-called marine mortality includes losses that might be attributable to the smolts as they enter tidal waters in the spring, through the post-smolt coastal movements in summer, and adult migrations at sea, and the return to spawning rivers, in an area covering tens of thousands of square kilometres in a period of anywhere from 14 to 24 months. Compared with the freshwater environment, the sea is the environment about which we know the least. It truly is the black box.
It's certainly a complex problem. Marine issues often identified include predation, for instance from striped bass or seals; overfishing; especially high seas; changing oceanographic conditions largely related to climate change; and even shifting forage or food or bases; and the quality of available prey species.
It's worth noting that there are still issues of concern in fresh water, especially, for instance, the warming of our rivers in the southern range of Atlantic salmon such as in the Maritimes and in the state of Maine. There is also habitat fragmentation and the impact of non-native competitors.
Another issue worth noting is the relative lack of government research and monitoring, and not just for salmon. Salmon are part of a complex ecosystem. Focusing solely on their dynamics without accounting for the changes in their food web and environment is naive at best and misleading at worst.
In the past, DFO science was taking the lead in addressing important scientific and management problems. DFO used to be the premier fisheries research group in the world. Indeed, as a young Ph.D. graduate, I viewed the federal government and academia as equally rewarding for conducting exciting applied scientific research. This has not been the case for the past two decades, at least with respect to salmon research in eastern Canada.
The few biologists and scientists working with DFO in the Atlantic region—and they are very hard-working people—are able to do little more than monitor stock status as part of annual assessments. There is little opportunity or encouragement to conduct truly independent or collaborative research on topical issues, for instance, aquaculture impacts or predator impacts. I was very pleased, therefore, by the recent announcement of a significant investment in increasing the numbers of federal scientists and biologists, some of whom will hopefully be working to improve our understanding of the salmon decline so that we can take appropriate management decisions.
If I may, I would like to suggest some recommendations for how DFO and other interested parties concerned about the future of wild Atlantic salmon might approach the issue of declining population numbers and species management and conservation.
First, I would encourage DFO scientists and biologists to initiate new research projects and experiments, for example on smolt predation, and truly collaborate with non-DFO partners, such as CAST, to address important management needs. These are questions such as how effective is catch-and-release is for improving salmon populations in specific rivers? Could it be practised in an entire river catchment? Would it realize improved adult survival and returns? Might even closures to any form of exploitation, whether commercial, recreational, or subsistence, for two to three generational cycles be effective?
Second, we should prioritize salmon management in rivers with a realistic view to what is likely to occur within 10 to 25 years, including more emphasis on northern rivers where stocks are stable or increasing but poorly monitored.
With that I would like to conclude, and I'm happy to answer any questions from the committee.