The One Belt, One Road has a number of roads and a number of belts. Yes, indeed, one goes through Afghanistan, but Pakistan is the far more important bit of the belt in the road. The possibility of making some accommodation with China over Afghanistan does two things. First, it overstates Afghanistan's importance to this Chinese initiative. If you look at where the arrows are generally drawn in Chinese descriptions of this initiative, they go north and south and indeed partly through Afghanistan.
The second problem, it seems to me, is that it overstates the capacity of the People's Republic of China to actually do what might be necessary in Afghanistan to provide the kind of security that, bluntly put, we haven't really seen since the late 1970s. Because our attention as Canadians has been elsewhere since 2014, you claim that once again it's descending into problems. The reality is that it's always been there, including when we were there from 2001 to 2014. The capacity of the Chinese to solve the governance problems of Afghanistan is exceedingly limited, it seems to me. I don't think there is any willingness in Beijing to try to get into that particular mess. They will run their belt and roads in different areas if, in fact, Afghanistan continues to be the security problem that it has been and remains.
