Thank you, ma'am, and happy birthday.
Yes, I did a whole segment for CTV News, along with Dr. Joanne Liu and Dr. Richard Gold, which was telecast last week, where I said that the most selfish thing that we could do is to help vaccinate the world.
The rationale is very simple. We are already in the third year of this pandemic because this virus is running unchecked. Reducing the overall transmission of the virus is the surest way to reduce the number of new patients and bad variants.
First, bad variants are absolutely coming our way, which is what I wanted to mention to Dr. Fry as well. It is never too late to vaccinate, because we don't know what bad variant is coming our way. Already we are seeing that the subvariants are even more transmissible—every single subvariant—and all it takes is another new patient perhaps to make it as deadly as the delta variant, and we would be in an all-out crisis all over again. I don't think we can deal with that.
Second, we're not just talking about transmission. The consequences of long COVID are terrible, disastrous, for the whole world, so it's a very good reason to vaccinate even to prevent long COVID and its complications.
In terms of the selfishness, I cannot do better than Joseph Stiglitz, the Nobel Prize economist. He just published an article last week in the journal that I edit. The title is “Vaccinating the world...is a no-brainer” as an economic investment.
The Economist magazine called it the “deal of the century”, with an economic return in the order of several thousand souls. In other words, there is no better investment anybody can come up with than vaccinating the world, which is why the G7, including us, should have done this more than a year ago. We could have put down $50 billion, or whatever is required to vaccinate the world, and by now we could have saved multiple trillions of dollars. That's the difference between paying billions now and being done with it, or continuing this pandemic into year four and dealing with all of the consequences—deaths of 15-plus million, long COVID and economic damage. The Economist magazine and the IMF have already estimated that trillions of dollars in economic losses have happened.
It is foolish to hold onto anything that will prevent this virus from multiplying. Stockpiling vaccines, not supporting domestic manufacturing, is absolutely foolish because we will be paying for it in the coming years.
I would rather that we pay now and pay less rather than holding back vaccines, not doing the right thing and suffering with trillions of dollars in economic losses.
Moreover, our borders are open. No matter how hard you try, new variants are going to keep coming in. We saw it. Every single variant came from somewhere else and devastated our health system. Can we afford a single variant more? Are we ready to go into another lockdown? We are not. That's why I'm saying that the most selfish thing we could ever imagine is to help vaccinate the world and share the therapeutics.
Ma'am, you're right: Antivirals are absolutely critical as well. There was a beautiful article in The New York Times saying that Paxlovid is pretty much not going to be available for low- and middle-income countries. Why do the richest nations gobble up all of the supplies? It will be the same thing if there's a new vaccine available for new variants, an omicron vaccine. Again, the high-income countries will take everything. Low-income countries will be at the bottom of the pile. That is why their self-sufficiency gives them a chance to modify their vaccine as and when they need to.