Without getting into all the complexities of the accounting, the government does in fact make a prediction about the level of bad debt we anticipate over the course of a year. That amount appears in the estimates. However, because Canada student loans are crown assets, there has to be an accounting when an asset is written off. The minister doesn't predict that. She doesn't do a forecast. She actually comes to Parliament with an exact accounting of the specific loans, the specific crown assets, she wants to write off.
As set out in these supplementary estimates (B), there are about 62,000 loans, in the amount of $149 million, she's asking be written off. She's bringing those forward now, as opposed to having done that earlier, because of the process the government has to undertake to write off the loans.
The minister makes a presentation to cabinet to seek approval for the writeoff of direct loans. It was just in recent months that she did that with respect to the three loans years: 2008-09, 2009-10, and 2010-11. It is only at this time that she can provide Parliament with an exact accounting of the loans she wishes to write off.
It's not that she didn't forecast it well or couldn't have foreseen it. This is a precise accounting of the writeoff.