Thank you. We will look forward to hearing them.
I think another element here is that income is one part. Outcome is the other, and outcome depends also on the cost of living. We know that anything that raises the price of food and fuel increases poverty. A Stats Canada witness told us that, and that's what leads me to the motion that I will propose to move now, Mr. Chair. It reads:
That, pursuant to Standing Order 108(2), the Standing Committee on Human Resources, Skills and Social Development, and the Status of Persons with Disabilities study the effects of a federally-mandated carbon tax on low-income families, and that Employment and Social Development Canada and Statistics Canada fully report to the Committee on the number of people the carbon tax will cause to fall below the low-income cut-off line.
That motion would be in order. There has been notice granted, and it was provided to the clerk and the committee administration about two weeks ago.
This motion, Mr. Chair, would allow the committee to add this subject to the existing study. It does not propose to fundamentally alter the committee's agenda, but really augment what is already a worthy study that we are undertaking now, in large part due to your leadership.
I think we have an enormous policy decision before Canadians right now on the imposition of a $50-a-tonne carbon tax, and that tax would increase costs for the average Canadian by $1,028. It would increase the cost of basic staples of human life, such as food, fuel, and electricity. We know that poor households spend a third more of their income on those staples than do rich households, so the tax is extremely regressive and would disproportionately affect those with the least. The result is that we could see an increase in the number of people below the low-income cut-off line. We could also see an increase in the number of people who fall below the market basket measure of poverty.
That is not speculation. It's based on the testimony that this committee has heard. There was a witness from Stats Canada who indicated that any time you increase the price of fuel, electricity, or food, you raise the threshold of the low-income cut-off line and the market basket measure, and therefore you increase the number of people who fall below that threshold and by extension the number of people who are deemed to be living in poverty.
Therefore it falls to us to study these impacts rigorously. This tax is federally mandated. While the money it raises will be provincially administered, it is mandated by the federal government, and poverty is a national issue. We have a duty to study the impacts on the less fortunate of all the policies, especially one of this magnitude.
We know from the experience in Ontario that the Green Energy Act has transferred massive sums of money from the low-income population to the extremely wealthy. It is probably the biggest wealth transfer from poor to rich that has been enacted by any government in my lifetime. The Auditor General of this province has indicated that it has caused an overpayment for electricity of $37 billion over eight years. Over the next 30 years, it's supposed to lead to an overpayment of another $137 billion, all of those extra costs and unnecessary costs being put on the electricity bills of everyday Ontarians. The evidence is mounting that a very small number of well-connected insiders are being made into instant millionaires as a result of the subsidies they enjoy under that program.
I realize, Chair, that is a provincial program, but the federally mandated carbon tax can be expected to have very similar redistributional effects, and as a result, we as a committee that studies poverty have a duty to determine what impacts it will have.
I note that the data presented by Stats Canada of low income and the low-income cut-off on the provincial level shows that Ontario has the worst record of any government in Canada between the years 2003 and 2014. Poverty levels dropped by one-third in British Columbia, the Prairies, Quebec, and Atlantic Canada, but in Ontario they barely budged. The number of people living on less than half the median income in Ontario actually increased during that time period, while it fell in every other province but two.
Ontario has demonstrated that some of these green policies can have an enormous impact on poverty. They can increase disparities. They are particularly harmful to the people who can least afford to pay for them.
I move this motion.