Thank you.
Dr. Wong, I would not be recommending the changes if I thought they compromised the basic objective of something that's balanced and something that's both fast and fair. To be absolutely honest with you, I've had concerns from the beginning that the eight-day and 60-day timeframes were possibly too slow to disincentivize false claimants from getting into the system. Let's not forget, that eight days has been changed to 15 days now for the first step, and 60 days has been changed to 90 days now for the second step. If they fail at that RPD, most claimants will then have four months, we estimate, to go to the refugee appeal division. If they lose there, they'll have another four months to go to the Federal Court. So right now we are talking about 11 to 12 months, under the 90 days that we've recommended.
When I look at the European systems, for fast-tracked claimants France has 15 days. It's 10 to 14 days for fast-tracked claimants in the United Kingdom. In Portugal, a country where the current UN High Commissioner for Refugees was Prime Minister, claims from safe countries of origin are considered to be groundless, and people are basically removed in a matter of days if they're found not to have a bona fide claim.
I know this will shock some people, but I'm going to say something that is absolutely a recognized reality: there are some people out there, some false claimants, who are effectively asylum shoppers. There are networks in the migration industry that are aware of the fact that Canada has the slowest-moving system by far now, and I fear that even after these reforms, we'll still have a relatively slow-moving system. So to go beyond what we are recommending I think would be irresponsible, but we've made compromises on this issue in order to try to find a consensus on this bill. As I said, I think the price of no reform would be too high.