Personally, I'm not aware of any studies that show that suspending the agreement would result in 100,000, 200,000 or 300,000 new asylum seekers annually.
You have to look at what was happening at the time, before the Safe Third Country Agreement went into effect. We were not getting disproportionate streams of asylum seekers. It was pretty much the same from year to year. So I don't see how suspending the agreement would worsen the situation, quite the contrary.
I would remind members that, so far in 2022, 99.3% of asylum seekers who enter Canada irregularly have done so through Roxham Road. This means that virtually all irregular entry into Canada happens at Roxham Road. If the agreement were suspended, asylum seekers would no longer converge there. In addition, people would no longer be forced to deal with smugglers. We forget that claimants will spend tens of thousands of dollars dealing with unscrupulous smugglers to get them to Roxham Road. Instead, asylum seekers could simply show up at any checkpoint and be properly handled by Canadian authorities, the way it used to be done.