The Environmental Coalition of P.E.I. or Eco-PEI, is a non-governmental organization that was established in 1989. The focus of our organization's work is public education, community events, and advocacy on issues related to P.E.I.'s environment and the use of our natural resources. The issue of trade falls under this focus.
It is Eco-PEI's position that Canada should not ratify the Trans-Pacific Partnership, or TPP. The central reasons for our stance against the TPP are: one, it will place further stress on already strained environmental systems in Canada and P.E.I. in exchange for minor economic benefit; two, the investor-state dispute settlement mechanism, or ISDS, would allow corporations to sue the government for federal and provincial policies, and the TPP will weaken our ability to effectively legislate environmental controls for the interests of Canadian citizens; and three, Canadian taxpayers will become financially responsible for legal challenges initiated by private interests against federal and provincial legislation, including but not limited to environmental law. Together, these will have the ultimate effect of undermining Canada's sovereignty in favour of corporate interests.
The TPP seems to be part of a trend in recent decades and reflects the willingness of western governments to erode their democratic institutions for the potential prospect of economic growth at any cost without critical concern for the consequences of that growth. We are not against free trade itself, but before a country signs on to any agreement, it is crucial to consider how and to whom the benefits and costs of that agreement are being distributed, and whether the overall deal is beneficial to Canadians and society as a whole. It is our understanding that the TPP will concentrate most of the benefits to a few certain groups while funnelling most of the costs and the negative consequences to the majority, all the while weakening Canadian legislative authority.
We would like to provide the committee with some context of our local economic and environmental situation in P.E.I. in order to illustrate how the TPP, if ratified, might affect us as a province. According to the Government of P.E.I., roughly 12% of our economy is based in the agricultural, fishing and food processing sectors. Islanders are aware of some of the environmental pressures caused by the agricultural industry. It's a sensitive topic on P.E.I., as almost everyone knows a farmer as a friend or family member.
These pressures include the heavy use of nitrogen fertilizers and pesticides, the leeching and runoff of these chemicals into groundwater and nearby streams, the erosion of fertile top soil from island farms, damaged soil that is less productive and less able to retain moisture, and the resulting increased demand for greater and greater quantities of island groundwater for irrigation.
We want to make it completely clear that Eco-PEI is not against island farmers. We understand the economic pressures that farmers are under today and the realities they must face in order to make a living. Many farmers are responsible for hundreds of thousands or millions of dollars in capital infrastructure investments and it is impossible for them to suddenly switch to a new model of production.
However, the TPP is not an answer to farmers' problems, as we have seen with free trade agreements in the past. According to Statistics Canada, since the Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement was signed in 1987, farm exports have increased threefold over this time but total outstanding farm debt on P.E.I. has risen from $159 million in 1987 to $748 million in 2015, a fourfold increase in less than three decades. This trend of rising exports and rising farm debt is similar all across Canada, with farm debt rising from $23 billion in 1987 to $91 billion in 2015, also a fourfold increase.
If Canada ratifies the TPP, it would increase P.E.I.'s economic dependence on the export of industrial agricultural products, which would further entrench island farmers in a production system that is already causing harm to the environment's systems we depend on to grow our food. At the same time the economic incentives for young people to get into farming are almost non-existent. Speaking from my own experience as a young person on P.E.I. who is trying to start a farm business, I know how difficult it is to manage the financial difficulties and other hardships of starting a farm even on a small scale.
As a country we need to think about the future of industries and the upcoming generation trying to build an economy that actually understands the ecological limits to growth. The TPP does the opposite. The hope would be that the TPP would substantially benefit Canada economically, but even proponents of the TPP estimate there will be minor economic benefits in terms of projected GDP growth if Canada were to ratify. According to a January 2016 working paper by the Peterson Institute, written in favour of the TPP, the projected GDP gain for Canada by 2025 is estimated at 0.9%, one of the weakest gains among potential TPP signatories. Those who are less optimistic, such as Dan Ciuriak, the former deputy chief economist at Foreign Affairs and International Trade Canada, has estimated net gain at only 0.1% of GDP by 2035.
In either of these cases, the benefits pale in comparison to recent deficit projections announced by this federal government, and in comparison to Canada's GDP as a whole, they are little more than a rounding error.
Our final central concern is with the investor-state dispute settlement mechanism, also known as the right of foreign corporations to sue otherwise sovereign governments through private tribunals.
In March 2015, a NAFTA tribunal oversaw a challenge by Bilcon, a company that proposed a quarry in Nova Scotia that was denied, and decided against Canada. Bilcon is now seeking $300 million in damages for loss of potential future profits. Donald McRae was Canada's appointee on the arbitrations tribunal. Remarking on the negative effects of ISDS, he said:
Once again, a chill will be imposed on environmental review panels which will be concerned not to give too much weight to socio-economic considerations or other considerations of the human environment in case the result is a claim for damages under NAFTA Chapter 11. In this respect, the decision of the majority will be seen as a remarkable step backwards in environmental protection.
In summary, Eco-PEI's position is that the TPP will place further strains on the environment for little economic return, undermine Canadian sovereignty, and open up the federal government, and therefore Canadian taxpayers, to expensive litigation with private interests. For these reasons, Eco-PEI recommends that Canada not ratify the TPP.