Evidence of meeting #49 for National Defence in the 44th Parliament, 1st Session. (The original version is on Parliament’s site, as are the minutes.) The winning word was information.

A recording is available from Parliament.

On the agenda

MPs speaking

Also speaking

Clerk of the Committee  Mr. Andrew Wilson
Thomas Keenan  Professor, University of Calgary, As an Individual
Alexander Rudolph  PhD Candidate, Carleton University, As an Individual
Kristen Csenkey  Ph.D. Candidate, Balsillie School of International Affairs, Wilfrid Laurier University, As an Individual
Alexis Rapin  Research Fellow, Raoul-Dandurand Chair in Strategic and Diplomatic Studies, Université du Québec à Montréal

8:45 a.m.

Liberal

The Chair Liberal John McKay

Colleagues, I call this meeting to order.

I want to deal, first of all, with the balloon motion.

Is this motion still up in the air or are we going to land it?

8:45 a.m.

An hon. member

We're going to land it.

8:45 a.m.

Liberal

The Chair Liberal John McKay

Who would like to move it?

February 10th, 2023 / 8:45 a.m.

Conservative

Cheryl Gallant Conservative Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke, ON

I move:

That the Standing Committee on National Defence invite the Minister of National Defence, the Hon. Anita Anand, and the Deputy Commander of NORAD, Lt. General Alain Pelletier, to provide a briefing of no fewer than two hours concerning the foreign airship from the People's Republic of China that recently violated Canadian airspace, and that the briefing be held in public within the next four days.

8:45 a.m.

Liberal

The Chair Liberal John McKay

Do we have any excessive debate?

8:45 a.m.

Conservative

Shelby Kramp-Neuman Conservative Hastings—Lennox and Addington, ON

I'd like to make an amendment so that the motion reads:

That the Standing Committee on National Defence invite the Minister of National Defence, the Hon. Anita Anand, to appear prior to March 11, 2023, and that the Deputy Commander of NORAD, Lt. General Alain Pelletier, and the Commander of the RCAF, Lt. General Eric Kenny, appear within the next week to provide a briefing of no fewer than two hours concerning the foreign airship from the People's Republic of China that recently violated Canadian airspace, and that the briefing be held in public.

8:45 a.m.

Liberal

The Chair Liberal John McKay

Okay. Are there any other...?

Are you speaking to the amendment?

8:45 a.m.

Liberal

Bryan May Liberal Cambridge, ON

I have an additional amendment, but I can speak to the amendment.

8:45 a.m.

Liberal

The Chair Liberal John McKay

Let's do it on the amendment.

8:45 a.m.

Liberal

Bryan May Liberal Cambridge, ON

We agree, obviously, with wanting to host these meetings. The only language I would add, to the attendance of officials, is a line that says, “all other appropriate officials”.

8:45 a.m.

Liberal

The Chair Liberal John McKay

Or “relevant officials”...?

8:45 a.m.

Liberal

Bryan May Liberal Cambridge, ON

Yes, “relevant officials” would be fine.

We are fine with the 11th date. In terms of trying to keep this clean, we'd prefer “as soon as possible”, but that would be up for debate.

The other slight change I would make is changing the name of the object to “high-altitude surveillance balloon”, which is the common language for this.

8:45 a.m.

Liberal

The Chair Liberal John McKay

Okay. I guess we're not going to land this balloon any time soon.

Let's go through these things backward and see whether we have consensus back and forth.

The last one you moved was “high-altitude surveillance balloon”.

Do we agree to that?

8:45 a.m.

An hon. member

Yes.

8:45 a.m.

Conservative

Shelby Kramp-Neuman Conservative Hastings—Lennox and Addington, ON

Chair, we accept the friendly amendments.

8:45 a.m.

Liberal

The Chair Liberal John McKay

Do you accept all three?

8:45 a.m.

Conservative

Shelby Kramp-Neuman Conservative Hastings—Lennox and Addington, ON

Yes.

8:45 a.m.

Liberal

The Chair Liberal John McKay

Okay. You accept all three.

(Subamendment agreed to)

We've accepted those. Now, has the other side accepted Shelby's amendment to Cheryl's original motion?

8:45 a.m.

Liberal

Bryan May Liberal Cambridge, ON

Yes.

(Amendment as amended agreed to)

8:45 a.m.

Liberal

The Chair Liberal John McKay

Therefore, we have a clean motion.

Mr. Clerk, do we have a clean motion at this point?

8:45 a.m.

The Clerk of the Committee Mr. Andrew Wilson

More or less, yes.

8:45 a.m.

Liberal

The Chair Liberal John McKay

Okay.

8:45 a.m.

Conservative

Blaine Calkins Conservative Red Deer—Lacombe, AB

Which one is it? Is it more or less?

8:45 a.m.

Liberal

The Chair Liberal John McKay

We're going to go with more.

With that, we all know what we're voting on.

(Motion as amended agreed to)

Thank you, colleagues. I won't make any more lame jokes about landing this balloon.

With that, we can now turn to the main business of the meeting. We have with us two witnesses: Dr. Thomas Keenan, professor at the University of Calgary; and Alex Rudolph, from Carleton University, who is a Ph.D. candidate.

Since Professor Keenan got up earliest in order to be able to give this testimony, we should defer to him.

Sir, you have five minutes. Welcome to the committee.

8:45 a.m.

Professor Thomas Keenan Professor, University of Calgary, As an Individual

Thank you very much.

Mr. Chair, distinguished committee members, ladies and gentlemen, thank you very much for inviting me today.

I would like to speak to you about a subject that I have been studying for years as a researcher, a University of Calgary professor and a fellow of the Canadian Global Affairs Institute. It's artificial intelligence. I believe it's going to revolutionize everything, including cybersecurity and cyberwarfare, and a lot quicker than most people expected.

AI is all over the news right now, because of things like ChatGPT. I was teaching it 30 years ago, and many of my students who built backpropagation in neural networks then have gone on to do great things. Artificial intelligence now does everything from detecting tiny tumours on MRIs to helping cities optimize traffic signals.

There is a dark side to artificial intelligence, something we call adversarial AI. My fear is, like so many industries, our defence folks will embrace AI without fully understanding how it can be used against us.

You probably heard about those snoopy information kiosks in Cadillac Fairview shopping malls. The company was chastised by the Privacy Commissioner for secretly collecting data on five million people, including their approximate age and gender. How did they know your gender? They made an educated guess using AI and facial recognition.

For 25 years, I ran a program for highly gifted high school students called Shad Valley Calgary. It culminated in a science fair where they showed off their work. One year, they built a neural network to predict your gender from body measurements, like hip to waist ratio. One corporate sponsor stopped at their booth and, yes, he was rather portly. They measured him, and they told him that with 84% probability he was female. That was actually a good thing, because those students realized that AI was just making informed guesses.

If you go to ChatGPT or similar programs, they will give you answers that don't have any percentages or degrees of uncertainty. They read like statements of fact. They can be dead wrong. I asked ChatGPT, “Is Danielle Smith intelligent?” It came back with, “I cannot accurately determine who you are referring to as Danielle Smith.” It does say that Justin Trudeau is widely considered to be intelligent. What's going on here?

I lifted the hood on the current free public version of ChatGPT. It's knowledge base ends at 2021. At that time, Danielle Smith was an unemployed talk radio host. She didn't rise to her current political prominence until 2022. I'm sure that ChatGPT's database will be updated, and its answer will be different in the future.

That's another problem. You can ask an AI bot the same question twice and get wildly different answers. It doesn't tell you why.

Don't get me wrong, I love AI and its potential upside. There are plenty of companies that will tell you all about that, since they have products to push. My mission is to make sure we look at the risks and apply this tool intelligently.

Here are three things to worry about as AI moves into national defence.

First is the source of training data. Most AI is trained on public domain data that might be inadequate. We've seen issues with facial recognition having trouble recognizing people of colour, because it was exposed mainly to white faces. In the defence industry, much of the most important data is not in the public domain.

Second is the lack of ethics in AI. We all remember Tay, the Microsoft chatbot that went off the rails and started spouting Nazi ideas and foul language and referred to feminism as a cult. Tay was just learning from people who interacted with it. Unfortunately, that's what it talked about.

Third, malicious actors can try to poison the database. A woman has been trying to rewrite the Wikipedia entry on Nazis to paint them in a favourable light. Way back in 2003, Democratic supporters linked the terms “miserable failure” on Google to George W. Bush's official White House biography. When you did a Google search for “miserable failure”, up came the president's picture.

If you don't want your political profile to be linked to miserable failure or worse, you should heed what ChatGPT has to say about this very committee:

The Standing Committee on National Defence,
Within the House of Commons, its power immense.
A place where decisions are made with care,
For the safety and security of all to share.
With members from every party, they convene,
To review and assess, and to make things clean.

Wait a minute. To make things clean...? What does that even mean? Only ChatGPT knows for sure, and it's not telling.

Thank you very much.