Thank you, Mr. Chair and committee members, for the opportunity to appear on this important topic.
For most Canadians, paying for the food that they consume is one of the few direct transactions they have with Canada's food system. When that transaction gets more expensive, it gets attention.
The simple fact is that food is getting more expensive. However, the reasons behind that increase, and the policy solutions available to governments, are much less straightforward. COVID, supply-chain disruptions, geopolitics, the depreciation of the Canadian dollar, concentration and the cost of labour are only some of the factors contributing to making food more expensive. Other witnesses will address many of these points, so today I will offer three simple observations on food price inflation.
First, food is diverse, and the drivers of the cost of food vary widely. Canada needs more research and analysis to understand these trends and pressures.
Second, food inflation is regressive, hitting poor households harder. Policy solutions should be directed at those Canadians who need the most help.
Finally, Canada is not an island, and our food system is part of a global system. It is important to consider this context when debating the Canadian experience.
First, while food is often talked about as a single thing, walking around a large supermarket today drives home how diverse food is. Within Statistics Canada's CP index, food is actually 190 different products, some of which behave very differently. For example, pasta was 20% more expensive in December 2022 than it was a year earlier, but fresh and frozen pork was almost 1% cheaper.
Within that diversity, some things are generally true, like the more ingredients in a product, the smaller the farmer's share is and the more that consumer's dollar goes to labour costs. Therefore, the more complex a product is, the more likely it will have costs driven up by something like the increasing cost of labour.
According to USDA's food dollar research program, in 2021, on average about 14.5¢ of the food dollar was the farm share, split about evenly between farmers and ag businesses. However, a Canadian study released in 2015 broke down how wide that range was between products. The farm share of bread was about 5%, but it was 50% for vegetables. It's worth highlighting that the 7.4¢ for the farm production was the lowest number recorded by the USDA. The share for retail, though, also fell in 2021.
The USDA analysis shows that farm production, food processing and packaging costs have all gone down. It also shows that the share for wholesale trade food service, accounting and advertising costs have gone up over the last 20 years.
We simply do not have this level of credible, meaningful analysis in Canada. Your committee's study would benefit from an organization like Agriculture Canada, Stats Canada or the Competition Bureau producing this level of detail. The committee should consider recommending that the Government of Canada take the steps necessary to collect data and conduct the same level of analysis that is available in the U.S. and to make the results of that analysis public.
Second, food inflation does not impact Canadians equally. It is very regressive and impacts lower-income Canadians more than most. In our 2022 report from the Angus Reid Institute, more than half of the respondents reported that it was difficult or very difficult to feed their household. However, those numbers differed greatly by income. It was 71% of respondents making less than $25,000 a year who said it was difficult or very difficult to feed their family, but the number dropped to just over 30% for those making more than $150,000.
The different responses by income drive home that food insecurity in Canada is largely not a food issue. A report on household food insecurity in Canada by the Proof program at the University of Toronto notes, “Although food insecurity was initially understood to be a food problem...it has become clear that the deprivation experienced by households that are food insecure is not confined to food.” In effect, the income issues driving food insecurity are income issues, not food issues.
Finally, it is important to put what is happening in Canada in a global context. While recent inflation has continued to climb in Canada, the UN FAO food price index has fallen considerably from its peak earlier this year and is now relatively similar to what it was a year ago. Despite a significant decrease since February, the index remains 43% higher than it was in 2019. In Canada, StatsCan's CP index for food is up only 17% in that same time frame.
Just as food inflation hits lower-income Canadians, the most vulnerable around the world are struggling with that significant increase in prices. Food inflation is an important but complex issue. It is not one single issue, but a complex web of issues impacting each other. Better data and analysis would lead to a much more informed dialogue. It also impacts lower-income Canadians more severely. Policy solutions should be directed to those who need the help.
Finally, food inflation in Canada is not happening in isolation. It is important to understand the global context.
These are three small observations on a large and complex issue. I look forward to taking your questions.