First of all, the gravel agreement was based on a UBC study that took bed elevation measurements, in other words, a bathymetric profile, from 1952, and then compared it to 1999. This is based primarily on a PhD thesis by Dr. Darren Hamm, of the department of geography.
There was an enormous amount of to-ing and fro-ing in terms of the accuracy and precision of this particular study over the period of those years. In my view, a PhD study, while being academically important in providing guidance, is not sufficient to provide actual management of precise locations and volumes of extraction.
Again, we will go over to the Vedder-Chilliwack, which is immediately adjacent. Gravel extraction occurs there every two years. There is a very clear protocol, in that every other year the river is measured in terms of gravel inputs, the hydraulic model is undertaken, and you have a very precise measurement. Here, it's like, well, we had 50 years of data, and gee, what's the right number? We're going to start taking large volumes of gravel out as a function of that?
The other thing is that the gravel extraction sites are high-grading gravel bars. It is easy and cost-effective, from the gravel operators' perspective, to get out there and basically take a scorched earth approach.
As you can see on that figure, there are only a half dozen gravel bars between the confluence of the Harrison and the Agassiz-Rosedale Bridge, where the real zone of gravel aggradation takes place. Because those gravel bars are slow-growing, very long-lived, and they don't recoup very quickly. Once they're gone, they're gone.
These guys have gone in over the last two or three years, taken those gravel bars, and all of a sudden there's no opportunity, so they do these dirty and nasty ways of getting gravel out, as we saw on Big Bar this winter. The question of flood protection is unequivocal; we need to have flood protection. Going in and doing it with such loose information I think is a disservice to the habitat and a disservice for flood protection. It just doesn't make sense.