Thank you very much.
Thank you, Chair and members of the committee, for this important study and for inviting me today. It's a great honour to be here.
Thank you to the diplomats we heard from for their important work, as well as my colleague, Dr. Tepper, who spoke very holistically about the situation.
I am a professor of political science, specializing in the Middle East, and the director of a research centre on international issues that brings together about 150 researchers at the Université de Montréal. I have also spent some time at the Government of Canada's Department of Foreign Affairs in the service of my country. With that background, I would like to share with you three main observations on the current situation in Syria. They pertain to the political transition, the role of diplomacy and the situation in the region. Before answering your questions, I will conclude my remarks by addressing Canada's role.
In terms of the political transition, you already have a good picture of the situation. Nevertheless, although Syrians were liberated and happy to know that Assad had left the country for good and that the war might hopefully end, it cannot be denied that grave concerns about the political transition remain. Power is now in the hands of a government with its roots in violent Islamic groups. If we are not careful, certain sectarian dynamics could emerge again. While they may be different from the previous dynamics, they are no less troubling.
Last week, for example, the political transition brought about new restrictions on the sale and consumption of alcohol. Some of those restrictions existed under previous regimes, but as public measures, they may indicate a tendency to limit civil liberties. Some caution is called for.
The second observation is on the role of diplomacy. This is a tool that can resolve conflicts and support the citizens, but it is not a gift that automatically guarantees legitimacy. It does not in itself legitimize the other country. Just because we are careful and well aware that there are grave concerns about the origins of the current regime and about the possibility of preserving and nurturing pluralism in Syrian society, it does not mean that we must disengage. I see an important role for the ambassador and his ability to work in Syria on Canada's behalf. It is possible to develop diplomatic relations and to remain careful at the same time. It's not an easy dance, but dance we must. If Canada as a nation chose not to develop diplomatic relations, it would be the same as disengaging. I do not think that is the solution, but care is required.
Third, I'll turn to the situation in the region. I imagine that, when the committee previously discussed conducting this study, it was deemed a worthy one because Syria is both important and fragile. The current conflict only makes the fragility worse. It is dashing some hopes in the region. That existing fragility will affect the conflict, and the most vulnerable people even more. They are the internally displaced and the returning refugees. They are the women and the groups that, whether or not they are called minorities, can fall prey to political repression, depending on the regime at any one time. These are the fragile groups who deserve our attention even more.
Finally, Canada's role is important. I fully concur with the remarks made by my colleague Mr. Tepper. Currently—and this is rare—Canada is well regarded by both the regime and the people. In fact, we have almost unparalleled legitimacy in Syria, for various reasons. The welcome Canada extended to Syrian refugees is one, but another is that we are not perceived as polarizing. Let us seize this opportunity to acknowledge the fragility and to strengthen the country and its institutions by supporting, but not encroaching on, the positive forces in the country. Civil society in Syria is hungry for dignity and human rights. Canada can champion those efforts in the knowledge that, despite the war, various groups have implemented some rather innovative programs, with impossible amounts of money, especially in matters such as evidence gathering and justice.
Canada can play a role in three areas: supporting institutions and the transition; justice; and women and gender issues. We know that budgets are limited, but huge amounts of money are not required. The positive forces, whether in the diaspora or the experts in non-governmental organizations, NGOs, are not actually looking for major funding. They are looking for support for their efforts.
Thank you for your attention. I will be happy to answer your questions.