Thank you very much for having me, and thank you very much for your flexibility in allowing me to do this by video conference, which means that I don't have to abandon my teaching obligations to appear.
My own expertise as an academic is not specifically on the Egyptian Christian community, but on two issues that now impinge very directly on their welfare. One is the general constitutional process in Egypt, and the other is the Muslim Brotherhood. I thought what I would do in my remarks is talk about the role of the constitutional process and the new 2012 constitution, and the country's new Muslim Brotherhood leadership and the way that will likely have some impact on Egyptian Christians.
There is no doubt that the year 2011 saw absolutely dramatic changes in Egyptian politics and, really, a sort of spirit of idealism that unified large parts of the Egyptian nation. Today, two years after that, I think a lot of disappointment and disillusionment have set in. Specifically among Egyptian Christians, I think the mood ranges from strong concern to absolute panic.
My own perception is that there are very strong and legitimate reasons for concern. I'm not necessarily sure there are reasons for panic, but Egyptian Christians have some very legitimate concerns about the country's political position, many of which stem from the ways in which the political process has simply not worked well to deliver a functioning government.
Let me go through the constitutional process and what I think that has delivered and has not delivered, then talk a little about the Brotherhood, and then finally talk a bit about specific worries for Egyptian Christians overall.
In terms of the constitutional process, Egypt now has a constitution that was approved by voters at the end of 2012. It was written by a constitutional assembly that was dominated by Islamists, although it did have some non-Islamist participation. If you read that document kind of outside of the political context in which it was written and compare it to Egypt's previous constitutional documents, I think in some ways you actually see some more robust protection for religious groups within Egypt, at least in certain respects. I'm not sure those robust protections will necessarily change much in Egypt's operating legal environment.
For instance, Christians now have a constitutional right to be governed in their own affairs by Christian personal status law. That is now enshrined in the constitution. However, that was Egyptian practice, and it has been Egyptian practice for decades and even centuries. That is to say, when you get married, divorced, or inherit as an Egyptian, you do so based on which religious community you are a part of.
There are some ways in which the constitutional process resulted in a state that will have a stronger religious flavour, and it has some constitutional provisions that are fairly vague in content but could accentuate the role of Islam in public life and even in the Egyptian legal framework. We're not sure yet how those are going to operate. I think what we've seen so far just in the few months in which the Egyptian constitution has been in effect is that they're beginning to operate in some ways that would surprise even the drafters. Really, we're just at the beginning of understanding what will happen as this paper document gets put into practice.
However, for Egyptians who are not members of the majority Sunni community, I think the fundamental worry about the constitutional process is not necessarily in any specific constitutional provision per se, but in the fact that the constitutional process in Egypt did not work to produce a consensus document that all parties accept as legitimate. The result is an unstable political situation.
In an unstable political environment in which the basic rules of political gain are not understood or accepted by all actors, and in which there is an environment in which there are strong security concerns and a government that is not quite sure it has the tools to deal with those concerns, minority communities tend to be the most exposed, so in looking at the constitutional document, I'd look a little bit less at constitutional text. That is not irrelevant, but what I would look to much more is the political environment, which I think most Egyptians would agree simply is not functioning as they hoped it would when they undertook the revolution back in 2011 to produce a democratic, strong, and functioning political system.
With regard to the Muslim Brotherhood, I think if you take a look at the Brotherhood's trajectory over its history, you will see an organization now that in some ways has covered a significant distance in ways that would be meaningful to non-Muslims within Egypt. The Brotherhood is unequivocally an Islamic organization and it wants to see a stronger role for Islam in Egyptian public life.
It has come some distance in accepting a conception of Egyptian citizenship that does not depend entirely on religion, and it has come very far in accepting democratic processes and ultimately the voice of the people as a determinant of the governing legal and constitutional environment within Egypt.
In a sense that's part of the problem as well, that the Brotherhood's view of democracy is at this point robust enough, but it's also fairly majoritarian. That is to say it understands that the Egyptian people, the majority of whom are Muslim and who, in elections since 2011, have basically tilted heavily in an Islamist direction, should have a fairly free hand in determining their rulers and in determining the laws and so on. It's a view of democracy that you could say is democratic but not completely liberal, and it doesn't give the sort of strong protections to liberal freedoms that I think some Egyptians would like.
In my reading of the Brotherhood's positions and its behaviour so far, it probably has a better record on political freedoms, things like freedom of the press, and freedom of the opposition. and freedom to demonstration. Although even there, there are some question marks that have been raised by its behaviour. It has a far less certain record when it comes to issues like freedom of cultural expression, and so on.
Fundamentally then, let me turn to an overview of where this places Egyptian Christians. Perhaps the best way to say it is that in the current environment in Egypt, Christians do decently on Sunday. That is to say, their freedom of worship, their kind of communal freedom to organize their own affairs and to organize personal status law in accordance with the teachings of the church are at this point robust and protected.
The problems have to do with what I might say are weekday Christians, the other six days of the week when they're not acting simply as Egyptian Christians but as Egyptian citizens. This is an environment in which, as I say, public life is taking on an increasingly Islamic flavour, not one that is incredibly oppressive to Christians, but one in which I think some Christians will feel its slightly unfriendly presence when it comes to media and perhaps state organizations that may not be friendly or open to them and so on.
I think there's also a very pronounced security problem, which to me is perhaps the overriding one. The problem is perhaps less what Egyptian law and what the Egyptian constitution say in practice and much more that we do have a security situation in Egypt that is uncertain at best and for which there is no real map that any political actor has been able to lay towards restoring security in a way that is appropriate for a democratic society.
As a result, exposed groups, minority groups, have fewer protections. The security services right now are barely functioning and are deeply implicated in human rights abuses in the past and are deeply distrusted by large segments of the population, so rather than providing for security for Egyptian citizens, they're in a sense seen as part of the problem. The result is that when you have incidents that do involve Christian communities, there is no real agent within the Egyptian state that they can call upon in order to enforce the rights that they have that might exist in practice.
That's why I come down to sort of feeling that there are strong reasons for concern for Egyptian Christians. I think when you compare Egypt to some of the other countries that are undergoing political change within the region, for instance, Syria, Libya or Yemen, the situation in Egypt looks fairly good in the sense that the basic institutions of state are still functioning in a way that does provide some minimal order and security. But in comparison with the hopes of 2011, I think there's no doubt the Egyptians have found out it's a lot easier to bring down an authoritarian system and much more difficult to build one that protects the rights of every individual Egyptian citizen.
Thank you.