Evidence of meeting #22 for Health in the 45th Parliament, 1st session. (The original version is on Parliament’s site, as are the minutes.) The winning word was point.

A video is available from Parliament.

On the agenda

Members speaking

Before the committee

Jacques  Interim Parliamentary Budget Officer, Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer
Nicol  Advisor-Analyst, Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer
Perrault  Director of Policy (Costing), Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer
Stanton  Advisor-Analyst, Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer

4:35 p.m.

Interim Parliamentary Budget Officer, Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer

Jason Jacques

— rather than the November date that you cited.

Maggie Chi Liberal Don Valley North, ON

Yes, that's totally fair, and I appreciate it.

The report suggests that the recent growth in overall program costs has been driven by both increased intake and an extended determination timeline. From a fiscal perspective, how significant is the duration of eligibility as a driver of total program expenditure?

4:40 p.m.

Advisor-Analyst, Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer

Caroline Nicol

Our modelling very much focuses on the number of beneficiaries, and it doesn't directly model duration. Essentially, because the length of coverage for an asylum claimant beneficiary is a direct function of how long their determination process is, the longer the determination process, the higher the health care cost associated with that beneficiary.

Maggie Chi Liberal Don Valley North, ON

If intake levels exceed processing capacity at the Immigration and Refugee Board, would it be fair to say that individuals remain in the program longer than originally intended, and that this dynamic alone increases the total cost, even if per person spending remains modest?

4:40 p.m.

Advisor-Analyst, Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer

Caroline Nicol

That's correct.

Maggie Chi Liberal Don Valley North, ON

In other words, is the more prudent policy question not whether temporary bridge coverage should exist, but how to align intake processing capacity in system design so that temporary programs do not become prolonged programs?

4:40 p.m.

Interim Parliamentary Budget Officer, Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer

Jason Jacques

We don't...so the mandate of the parliamentary budget officer, interim or otherwise, is not to opine upon policy. We only crunch numbers.

Maggie Chi Liberal Don Valley North, ON

Okay.

4:40 p.m.

Interim Parliamentary Budget Officer, Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer

Jason Jacques

Policy is done by members around this table.

Maggie Chi Liberal Don Valley North, ON

I think that's my time. Thank you.

The Chair Liberal Hedy Fry

Thank you.

I'm going to go now to Monsieur Blanchette-Joncas for six minutes, please.

Maxime Blanchette-Joncas Bloc Rimouski—La Matapédia, QC

Thank you, Madam Chair.

I want to return to my question about the share of funding that Quebec receives with respect to asylum claimants.

In comparison with Ontario, for example, Quebec receives many more asylum seekers than its demographic weight. As for the allocation of program funding, Ontario's share is double that of Quebec, which nonetheless receives a lot of asylum claimants.

Can you explain this?

4:40 p.m.

Advisor-Analyst, Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer

Caroline Nicol

You're talking about the costs per province for the program.

Is that right?

Maxime Blanchette-Joncas Bloc Rimouski—La Matapédia, QC

That’s correct.

4:40 p.m.

Advisor-Analyst, Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer

Caroline Nicol

Costs are related to billing requests. It's related to the invoice. If costs are higher in Ontario, the assumption would be that billing per asylum claimant in Ontario is higher than in Quebec.

Maxime Blanchette-Joncas Bloc Rimouski—La Matapédia, QC

We see in the data that Ontario surpassed Quebec only in 2024.

4:40 p.m.

Advisor-Analyst, Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer

Caroline Nicol

I don't have the data on those billing dynamics, but that would be my assumption.

Maxime Blanchette-Joncas Bloc Rimouski—La Matapédia, QC

According to my hypothesis, either asylum claimants in Ontario get sick more often, or treatments and health care in Ontario are more expensive.

How can we confirm whether Quebec or other provinces are being penalized in terms of the allocation of funds?

It's a matter of fairness within the federal government.

4:40 p.m.

Director of Policy (Costing), Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer

Louis Perrault

To address this issue, we would definitely need much more granular data if we are to provide you with explanations and answers to your questions. For now, this isn't something we've looked at in the time frame that—

Maxime Blanchette-Joncas Bloc Rimouski—La Matapédia, QC

That’s understood.

I want to talk now about pre-departure care outside the country. The federal government now covers some care outside Canada before individuals arrive.

Do you have data on the impact that these costs have on the entire IFHP budget?

4:40 p.m.

Advisor-Analyst, Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer

Caroline Nicol

Yes, the portion of health care costs for that part of the program was about 3% for the 2024‑25 fiscal year.

Maxime Blanchette-Joncas Bloc Rimouski—La Matapédia, QC

Okay.

Can we have a breakdown of costs by country, by region of origin or by type of pre-departure care covered?

Do you have any data on that?

4:40 p.m.

Advisor-Analyst, Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer

Caroline Nicol

We don’t have a breakdown of the costs, but as we understand it, the main expenses are related to pre-departure medical examinations and public health care.

Maxime Blanchette-Joncas Bloc Rimouski—La Matapédia, QC

Okay.

A portion of the program's expenses is incurred abroad even before these people arrive in Canada.

Is that right?

4:40 p.m.

Advisor-Analyst, Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer