Thank you, Mr. Chair.
I thank the members of the committee for their invitation.
I'm very happy to be here today.
I want to open with three observations and draw out a few implications for the review and update of the Indo-Pacific strategy.
To begin, the Indo-Pacific strategy as written gets a number of things correct as basic statements of fact. The Indo-Pacific region, Asia, is already the global epicentre of economic dynamism by many measures. If the trends continue as they are, that will only increase in the generation to come. It's also the centre of geopolitical challenges globally, whether that's because of rising powers or, of course, specific security flashpoints.
All of these things affect Canadian interests deeply, so I think the call to prioritize attention and resources to position Canada to meet these challenges in the generation ahead is correct. I would add that the U.S. disruptions have accelerated the rationale for many of the elements that the Indo-Pacific strategy calls for.
The Indo-Pacific strategy, since its launch, has produced a number of positive outcomes. Canada's presence in the region has increased in a number of ways. One is in the form of high-level visits from the Prime Minister or the ministerial level. Trade delegations have gotten traction and increased awareness of opportunities in engaging Canada in the region. People-to-people ties have clearly increased as well.
In terms of trade architecture, there are a number of advancements. The Canada-Indonesia agreement is one of them. Progress on the Canada-ASEAN free trade agreement and discussions with the Philippines and Thailand are all important steps forward that should be recognized.
On the security front, there is more co-operation. There is a greater Canadian presence in the region, whether it's in the form of cyber-collaboration or a naval presence. There are also a number of game-changers. The collaboration with the Philippines on dark vessel detection has really increased Canada's presence in the region and goodwill towards Canada.
If there is a silver lining from some of the disruptions from Trump, it's that there is more interest in engaging Canada now than I have ever experienced before in my career. That takes many dimensions. I think this is a unique opportunity, and a unique moment as well, but those positives have to be positioned against a realistic assessment of Canada's baseline.
From my perspective, Canada has underinvested in Asia and the Indo-Pacific for a number of decades. It was a late mover in articulating a strategy towards Asia relative to a lot of its counterparts. I think that's left Canada with three major deficits vis-à-vis the Indo-Pacific.
The first deficit is in capacity and knowledge. The Indo-Pacific is a highly complex region, as we're all aware. I don't think there is sufficient familiarity, knowledge, expertise or language capacity in key sectors in Canada, whether they're in the private sector or large parts of the public sector, to effectively leverage Canadian opportunities. To provide an anecdote, UBC, where I'm a faculty member, is arguably the most Asia-facing university in Canada, but it has not offered a Southeast Asian language as a foreign language in over a decade.
Second, I think Canada has some deficits in its network. Getting things done across the Indo-Pacific requires personal connections and trust. The period of underinvestment has left Canadian networks thinner on the ground across Asia than those of many counterparts. That requires sustained engagement to overcome.
Third, I would say there is a reputational deficit to address as well in Asia on the part of Canada. Canada has been seen as a fair-weather friend to some extent in appearing in the region and engaging the region, but when political dynamics in Canada shift, it's retreating to some extent. That has major implications for the Indo-Pacific and an update to it.
First and foremost, from my perspective, Canada is, by population, a relatively small country with a giant neighbour to the south that will always occupy a good portion of our bandwidth. The pressure to increase defence spending will mean that there's more competition for finite resources. In short, if Canada is to meet the generational challenge that a rising Indo-Pacific and Asia present, the region has to be a true priority in the share of attention it receives and the share of resources it receives in order to risk not falling behind further.
Expectations need to be calibrated correctly. Of course, we should expect real progress over the course of one, two or three years, but this is a generational challenge. We'll see progress more in blocks of five or 10 years than we will in blocks of one or two years.
Second, of the five pillars the original Indo-Pacific strategy articulates, it's quite clear that trade and security have become the most important. That may be warranted, but effectively delivering on both of those pillars requires, again, adequate human capacity and strong networks. It is not possible to build them without investments in people-to-people connections, a diplomatic presence and a range of other factors beyond purely security and trade—