Thank you, Madam Chair and committee members, for having me. It's my pleasure to contribute.
Canada's once-strong immigration consensus has unravelled. The 2022-24 surge did not create the crisis so much as exposed the limits of a world view that treated openness, autonomy, mobility, and diversity as unqualified goods. A model built on boundlessness has now collided with reality, and we're relearning that people are not infinitely malleable and societies require shared norms, bonds and identity to flourish.
For decades, policy followed an extreme open society ideal that downplayed borders, integration and common culture. The result has been diffuse national identity, declining trust, strained services and civic fatigue. A serious reset must return to first principles, what immigration is for and what kind of society it must sustain.
The examples of failure in the present system abound. Canada's increasing reliance on temporary migrant labour has depressed wages in some sectors and entrenched low productivity business models. Employers can rely on a rotating pool of precarious workers rather than investing in training or technology.
The post-secondary sector shows a similar pattern. Universities and colleges have become financially dependent on international students, driving aggressive recruitment, inflated tuition and, in some cases, low-quality programs and dubious employer and international partnerships.
Far from diversity being an outright strength, a recent 2020 meta-analysis estimates that a robust negative relationship between local ethnic diversity and social trust exists in the short term across all studies. This suggests shared norms, customs, mannerisms, beliefs and behaviours are crucial to the facilitation of everything from basic interactions on the street to broader co-operation, integration and trust at higher levels of social interaction. Trust data reflect this. Canada's general social survey shows generalized trust in people was stable at around 54% from 2000 to 2013 and has now declined to levels in the mid-forties.
Over the last 20 years, Canada has seen social trust decline and become more fragmented and fragile, with stronger pockets of mistrust and loneliness in precisely the big, diverse metros that carry most of the immigrant and population growth. One would expect this when the proportion of immigrants as a share of the population rises from 15% to 25%, not including non-permanent residents and foreign-born citizens, as it has from the early 1990s to the present day. These pressures are compounded by weaknesses in border integrity. Asylum backlogs, inconsistent enforcement and permissive temporary resident programs have eroded confidence in the system, creating openings for organized crime, trafficking networks and diaspora-driven political conflict to thrive on the streets of our major cities and university campuses.
Immigration has also been used to mask deeper demographic challenges. Canada's total fertility rate fell to an all-time low of 1.25 last year. Immigrants often arrive with stronger family structures, but over time many adopt the same hyper-individualistic norms that suppress domestic fertility. Using immigration to paper over demographic decline is not only arithmetically impossible but also signals that the aspiration to marry and raise a family, one of the most basic and natural human desires, crucial to individual and social well-being alike, is of secondary concern to policy-makers.
What's more, foundational social goods are weakening under relentless autonomy and mobility. The Global Flourishing Study shows that marriage, family stability, community ties, religious participation and purpose are central predictors of human well-being. Our fundamentalist commitment to openness, autonomy, individualism and choice, as exemplified by the values that animate our immigration system, strain several of these pillars simultaneously, and Canada now scores poorly on many of them.
I will argue that these challenges are not merely technical, they're philosophical. Immigration is embedded in an ecosystem of culture, economics, demography and identity, so reform must begin with a change in world view. Diversity is only a strength when embedded within a unifying framework. Our original vision for multiculturalism understood this. As Michael Bonner notes in a piece for the Macdonald-Laurier Institute—