Thank you, Mr. Chair.
Thank you for inviting me to appear before the committee.
I will deliver my opening remarks in English, but I will be able to answer your questions in both official languages.
As of late, “wind and sun don't need to transit the Strait of Hormuz” has been the rallying cry of the sustainability crowd. That message resonates.
If only it were that simple.
Canada has been making huge financial bets on climate mainstreaming, the energy transition and any number of green investment vehicles. Canada's collective spending on clean energy has been averaging 1.1% to 1.6% of GDP a year, all of it on borrowed money. At a rough estimate of $35 billion a year, for years, Canada has spent as much on the energy transition as it did on defence—or more.
Who profited disproportionately? It was Chinese companies, with Canadian renewable energy policies benefiting China by design through explicit and strategic efforts by China, such as monopolizing electrification, battery metals supply chains and manufacturing processes. It was hardly an accident that Canada intentionally opted to focus on solar and wind, the two energy sources for which Canada is most dependent on foreign—that is, Chinese—suppliers. Canada's energy policy is playing right into China's hands by subordinating, dividing and deindustrializing the country.
What do we have to show for Canada's largesse? A decade of the green bazooka has yielded modest results at best. Renewable energy is expanding at a glacial pace of 0.7% of total energy supply per annum. Targets the government had set for renewables for 2030 are beyond reach in just about every economic sector.
Since 2015, the proportion of renewables in Canada's energy mix has hardly budged, hovering around two-thirds. Rather than solar and wind, close to 60% of renewable energy in Canada is generated by hydroelectricity, while 27% of Canada's renewables are actually biomass—that is, burning wood and waste.
Decarbonization is linear, not exponential. The energy transition is lengthy, costly, bureaucratic and constrained by supply and grid limitations. Although decarbonization of electricity looks promising, electricity makes up just one-fifth of Canada's total energy usage.
Canada still depends on fossil fuels for over 70% of its energy needs. The transport, industry, heating, manufacturing and agriculture sectors are hard to abate, yet existential to our daily lives and economy. Even the most ambitious energy transition scenarios project that Canada will continue to depend on fossil fuels far into the 2030s.
To be sure, political opportunists have been positing a polarizing narrative of black or white choices between good and bad energy sources. That approach is dividing the country, on the verge of possible disintegration. Forcing an ideological policy choice that risks breaking up the country is necessarily an abject failure. It ignores the reality that Alberta's energy surplus effectively subsidizes social services across other provinces, notably Quebec. Far from a liability, Canadian energy is a strategic asset to leverage for allied, partner and global reliability, stability and prosperity.
Energy policy should never be a binary choice informed by climate dogma. Canada's zealous commitment to decarbonization turns out to be an expensive energy handicap, to the detriment of Canadian prosperity, security and sovereignty. Canada has long been a net exporter of energy, but at a time when the Prime Minister is touting a degree of decoupling from the United States, Quebec and British Columbia are now net importers of U.S. electricity, much of it generated by fossil fuels. If that's not an abysmal strategic policy failure, I don't know what is.
Political staffers and environmental lobbyists have become masters of glossy 2040-50 timelines while ignoring the challenge that Canada needs affordable and reliable energy and electricity in the short to medium term. Canada's providing long-term, reliable natural gas supplies to domestic consumers, as well as European and Asian partners and allies, also forestalls the temptation for European allies to revert to a Faustian bargain on energy supplies with Russia. Make no mistake: Canadian environmental ideology is driving high energy and electricity prices in Europe, which are responsible for the rise of the same right-wing populist extremists these ideologues abhor.
To be sure, Canada needs to support the clean energy transition, but realistically, not dogmatically. Canada's digital sovereignty depends not on misguided regulation but on abundant energy supplies for data centres, IT infrastructure and digital stacks. That requires Canada to invest heavily in the grid, especially electricity transmission and distribution. Nuclear energy is Canada's best bet to ensure a reliable supply of clean electricity while research and CNL push ahead with novel reactor design.
Canada needs a realistic energy transition while ensuring sufficient conventional energy transition supply. Insisting on energy austerity and penalizing the use of fossil fuels to meet arbitrary climate targets—targets that are impoverishing the country while driving up the cost of living at home and price volatility, energy austerity, conflict and hunger abroad—is not just utterly irresponsible but the most self-defeating policy approach in Canadian history.
Canada's energy and electricity policy needs a healthy dose of climate realism.